San Diego Padres vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 8-14-23 MLB Picks
The Baltimore Orioles and San Diego Padres clash Monday in game 1 of an MLB series at Petco Park. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Orioles look to stay hot after winning 10 of their last 14 games. The Orioles have a 3-game lead in the AL East. The Orioles pitching staff is 14th in ERA (4.10), 16th in WHIP (1.28) and 10th in quality starts (48). The Orioles' offense is 7th in runs per game (4.87), 15th in batting average (.251) and 17th in homers (136). Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles with 117 hits and 58 RBI, while Austin Hays and Anthony Santander have combined for 216 hits and 109 RBI. Grayson Rodriguez gets the ball, and he is 2-3 with a 5.84 ERA and 80 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Padres.
Baltimore Orioles Team Facts
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres need a win after losing 7 of their last 9 games. The Padres are now 5.5 games back in the NL wild card race. The Padres pitching staff is 5th in ERA (3.83), 15th in WHIP (1.28) and 5th in quality starts (55). The Padres' offense is 14th in runs per game (4.58), 20th in batting average (.242) and 10th in homers (150). Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with 116 hits and 40 RBI, while Juan Soto and Ha-Seong Kim have combined for 220 hits and 117 RBI. Yu Darvish gets the ball, and he is 8-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 125 strikeouts this season. This will be Darvish’s second career game against the Orioles.
San Diego Padres Team Facts
- The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against American League opponents.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last six home games against American League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Petco Park against AL East opponents.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last six night games between the Orioles and Padres.
Matchup/League Facts
- The San Diego Padres ranks 2nd in the league for walks this season (479).
- The San Diego Padres are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.
- The Baltimore Orioles ranks 4th in the league for doubles this season (222).
- The Baltimore Orioles ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (21).
Randy’s Pick
I understand why the Padres are favorites here, as they're at home and have Yu Darvish on the mound. Grayson Rodriguez hasn't been good, with his 5.84 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. However, it's about getting the Orioles at plus money and fading the Padres. The Padres are playing like a team that's already checked out and is ready for a vacation. The Orioles keep piling up the wins, and no team in MLB has earned bettors more money over the last 180 days than the Orioles. It's not even close. Give me the plus money every time I can get it with the O's.
