Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 8-25-23 MLB Picks
The San Diego Padres and Milwaukee Brewers clash Friday in game 1 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Padres are 6 games back in the NL wild card race. The Padres pitching staff is 3rd in ERA (3.78), 11th in WHIP (1.26) and 3rd in quality starts (59). The Padres' offense is 15th in runs per game (4.50), 24th in batting average (.238) and 11th in homers (161). Xander Bogaerts leads the Padres with 122 hits and 44 RBI, while Ha-Seong Kim and Fernando Tatis Jr. have combined for 234 hits and 115 RBI. Yu Darvish gets the ball, and he is 8-9 with a 4.35 ERA and 138 strikeouts this season. Darvish is 2-4 with a 2.09 ERA and 74 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.
San Diego Padres Team Facts
- The Padres have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Padres' last seven games at American Family Field.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Padres' last five road games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at American Family Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Jake Cronenworth has hit a home run in each of the Padres' last two road games against the Brewers.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in six of the Padres' last seven road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Manny Machado has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Padres' last nine Friday games.
- Yu Darvish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances against the Brewers.
- Ha-Seong Kim has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers look to build on their 5-game winning streak. The Brewers have a 3-game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 11th in ERA (4.00), 4th in WHIP (1.22) and 9th in quality starts (55). The Brewers' offense is 21st in runs per game (4.35), 28th in batting average (.235) and 22nd in homers (134). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 136 hits and 67 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 204 hits and 118 RBI. Brandon Woodruff gets the ball, and he is 2-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 26 strikeouts in his career against the Padres.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have lost each of their last nine games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games following a home win.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of the Brewers' last three home games.
- Willy Adames has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers' last five games.
- William Contreras has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Brian Anderson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.
- Brian Anderson has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (988).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (989).
- The San Diego Padres ranks 1st in the league for walks this season (517).
- The San Diego Padres ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (514).
Randy’s Pick
The Padres and the plus money is intriguing given that Yu Darvish is on the mound, but the Padres as a team have had issues stringing wins together. The Brewers have put together 5 straight wins as they're starting to create distance in the division, and Brandon Woodruff has been good in a limited sample size. In 28 innings, Woodruff has a 2.89 ERA and 0.86 WHIP. The Padres are a hard team to trust. Give me the Brewers and the cheap price.
