Sevilla vs Arsenal prediction, odds, betting tips and best bets for Champions League match

Arsenal turn the page to European competition as they face a difficult road test with a group stage matchup against Sevilla in Spain.

The Gunners lost ground in the Premier League title race with a draw against Chelsea over the weekend, and while they showed grit coming back to secure a late 2-2 draw, they will rue their costly slow start to the match.

Sitting second in the Group B standings on three points – thanks to defeat at the hands of Lens last time out – Arsenal will know they need maximum points from this match to keep them in control of their own destiny after half of group stage play has been completed.

This match will be critical for the Gunners who could see their recent narrative turn in either direction depending on the outcome in Seville. A positive result would see them relegate the Chelsea match to a blip, which was reversed even before the final whistle, while a poor performance could begin a negative two-match trend.

Sevilla vs Arsenal match facts

• Date: Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2023
• Kickoff Time: 9 p.m. local (3 p.m. ET / 12 p.m. PT)
• Location: Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan (Seville, Spain)
• Official: Glenn Nyberg (SWE)
• Last meeting: Sevilla 3-1 Arsenal (Nov. 27, 2007 | Champions League)

Sevilla vs Arsenal prediction, odds

• Moneyline lean: Arsenal (-120)
• Score prediction: Sevilla 1-2 Arsenal

Arsenal looked sluggish for much of the early stages of the Chelsea game, and it cost them, but they will have learned lessons from that.

With a fully healthy team, however, the Gunners should be able to avoid defeat to a Sevilla side that has specialised in draws but overall has struggled to maintain consistent levels.

Sevilla are difficult to beat at home and Arsenal will know they need a result here to not only avoid a regression trend, but also to maintain their control over a Champions League knockout position.

A draw here could put them in a precarious position, and there is enough motivation to see this match out in search of three points rather than accepting a draw.

Sevilla vs Arsenal: best bet

• Pick: Both teams to score
• Odds: -130 (BetMGM)

European road trips have not exactly been kind to Arsenal, and while they may get a victory in this match, it won't come easy. Sevilla have been stout at home, and could find a way to breach the Arsenal defensive unit.

The Gunners have conceded in each of their last three away matches in European action, shipping two goals at Lens last time out while also conceding to Sporting CP and PSV in last year's Europa League. It seems likely that this will be a back-and-forth match regardless of the outcome.

Sevilla vs Arsenal prop bet

• Pick: Sevilla over 2.5 cards
• Odds: +146 (FanDuel)

For a team with disciplinary issues this season, this presents exceptional value. Sevilla have collected the fifth-most yellow cards in La Liga this season despite having played one fewer match than most other clubs, and they don't need to rack up a lot of fouls to do so — their 4.07 fouls per booking is third in the Spanish top flight.

That fits the opposition well, as Arsenal have drawn the fourth-most opposition bookings per foul won in the Premier League this season.

Sevilla picked up five yellow cards in the recent draw with Real Madrid, and three in the recent 1-0 defeat at Barcelona, so in a match against another big European power, there's a good chance this hits again.