Tigers vs. Rays: Odds, picks and predictions 8/6/23

The Detroit Tigers will finish off a three-game weekend series at home on Sunday against the Tampa Bay Rays. On Saturday, Detroit eked out a 4-2 victory thanks to yeoman’s work by Tarik Skubal and five relievers.

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Game details

• Who: Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
• When: Sunday, August 6
• Time: 1:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Comerica Park (Detroit, MI)

MLB odds

The odds below for Sunday’s game are from WynnBet Sportsbook:

• Moneyline: Tigers +165, Rays -200
• Runline: Tigers +1.5 (+100), Rays -1.5 (+120)
• Total: Over/Under 8.0 Runs (-120, +100)

Matt Manning (3-3, 4.53 ERA, 36 K in 47.2 IP) vs Tyler Glasnow (5-3, 3.15 ERA, 96 K in 68.2 IP)

Is Manning wearing down after his return from an arm injury? In his last two outings, the Detroit pitcher has allowed 11 ER in 11 innings. He’s allowing hard contact, and surrendered 4 home runs. It may be a case of finding too much of the strike zone, as Manning has only walked one batter in his last 11+ innings. We’ll know how effective Manning will be Sunday by how well he locates his pitches at the bottom and below the strike zone. Otherwise, it could be “bombs away” from the Rays’ lineup.

Shoulder problems kept Glasnow on the shelf until late May, but since he came back healthy, the Tampa Bay righthander has been phenomenal. He’s struck out at least 6 batters in every start, and topped 8 Ks in seven of his 12 assignments. In his most recent 3 starts, Glasnow has allowed just 11 hits in 21 IP, while striking out 25 against only 4 walks. Every pitch he throws is spot-on, and he’s arguably the most effective pitcher in the AL since June 1.

Javy Baez is a notorious guess hitter. So far, he’s guessed pretty well against Tyler Glasnow (2-for-5 with a double lifetime)... Tampa’s Wander Franco had three hits on Saturday, and he’s had a hit in seven of his last eight games. Arozarena is scuffling in the second half. He has only two HR in his last 26 games. After a red-hot second-half of July, Riley Greene’s bat has cooled a bit, with only two hits in his last four games. However, both have been for extra-bases.

Total Runs UNDER 8.0 (+100 from WynnBET)

Glasnow has a 2.08 ERA in his last seven starts. He’s struck out more than 13 batters per nine innings over that stretch. The tall thin man is dealing, and there’s little reason to think he won’t on Sunday, when this low-scoring game finishes off the season series between these teams.