Rays-Yankees prediction: Picks, odds on Monday, July 31 for Glasnow-German matchup

The Tampa Bay Rays take on the New York Yankees in the first game of a three-game series on Monday, July 31. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET from Yankee Stadium. Tyler Glasnow (4-3, 3.36 ERA) will take the mound for the Rays, while rookie Jhony Brito (4-4, 4.70) will pitch for the Yankees after scheduled starter Domingo German was scratched due to discomfort in his throwing shoulder.

The Rays are -155 moneyline favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, with the Yankees coming in at +130. The total is set at 8.5.

Rays-Yankees picks: Monday, July 31

Injury report

Rays

Out: INF Taylor Walls (left oblique strain), C Francisco Mejia (left knee MCL sprain), RP Josh Fleming (left elbow inflammation), RP Andrew Kittredge (Tommy John surgery)

Yankees

Out: 3B Josh Donaldson (calf), C Jose Trevino (wrist), SP Nestor Cortes (shoulder), SP Frankie Montas (shoulder), RP Jonathan Loaisiga (elbow), RP Luis Gil (elbow)

Starting pitchers

Tyler Glasnow vs. Jhony Brito

Glasnow has been very solid in July, with an ERA of 2.30 for the month. In his latest start, he lasted seven innings against the Marlins, conceding one earned run and recording eight strikeouts. Before that, he faced the Orioles for seven innings, and let up two earned runs while striking out nine batters.

German’s injury means that Brito will make his 13th appearance and 12th start of the year. The rookie righty has been in and out of New York’s injury-ravaged rotation this season, but he was pitching well during his last stint in the Majors. Over his last two starts at the end of June, Brito allowed a combined two earned runs across 11.1 innings against the Seattle Mariners and Oakland Athletics.

Over/Under pick

This Rays lineup has gone cold for most of July, but they should be able to have success against Brito, who they touched up for four runs in just four innings back in May. Tampa also scored eight runs against the Astros on the road on Sunday and should be able to keep those numbers up. The Yankees may not be as productive against Glasnow, but I still like a higher-scoring option for today’s game.

Pick: Over 8.5

Moneyline pick

The Yankees dropped two of three against the Orioles in their latest series, and the Rays won two of three against the Astros. Glasnow is the better pitcher in this matchup, and the Rays arguably have the better batting lineup, though the Yankees are improving with Aaron Judge’s return.