Tua Tagovailoa Player Props, Predictions Week 2: Quarterback Primed for Sunday Night Football

Sportsbook Review betting analyst Neil Parker explores Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa's player props for his clash with the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football and shares his picks based on the latest NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa aired it out for 466 yards and three touchdowns against the Los Angeles Chargers in Week 1, and now he faces the division rival New England Patriots under the bright lights of Sunday Night Football.

Hereare our best Tua Tagovailoa player prop picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Sunday Night Football matchup (odds via our bestNFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Tua Tagovailoa NFLplayer props for Week 2

Tua Tagovailoa Over 264.5 passing yards (-114 via BetRivers)⭐

I was immediately drawn to this total through BetRivers because FanDuel has the line at 268.5 with the same -114 juice. Additionally, there’s a slight advantage based on my projection of Tagovailoa throwing for 272.4 passing yards against the Pats.

New England showed well in Week 1 against the Philadelphia Eagles and limited quarterback Jalen Hurts to just 170 passing yards. Still, the weather was unfavorable, and it was offensive coordinator Brian Johnson’s first game calling plays for the Eagles. 

Conditions shouldn’t curb the Miami passing attack Sunday, and I’d price this Over at -120, so we’re landing a short positive expected value of 2% on the -114 BetRivers odds.

Tua Tagovailoa Over 21.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM)⭐⭐

This prop correlates with Tagovailoa going Over his passing yards total, and it’s also another example of the BetMGM number being lower than the 22.5 completions total FanDuel is hanging.

I have the Miami signal-caller projected for 22.3 completions, so I’d price this prop at -125 to present a positive expected value of 6% on the -110 BetMGM number.

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Tua Tagovailoa player prop picks made 9/16/23 at 9:54 a.m. ET.

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