UC Davis vs. UC San Diego prediction, odds: 2023 college basketball picks, Feb. 20 best bets by proven model

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The UC Davis Aggies look to get back on track and sweep the season series when they take on the UC San Diego Tritons in Big West Conference action on Monday. The Aggies (15-12, 8-7 Big West), seventh in the conference standings, have lost three of their last four games and four of six. The Tritons (9-18, 4-11), ninth in the Big West, have dropped five of their last six games and 11 of 14. UC Davis has won the last three meetings with UC San Diego, including a 78-70 win on Jan. 16.

The game from the University Credit Union Center in Davis, Calif., will tip off at 6 p.m. ET. UC San Diego is averaging 67.4 points per game, while UC Davis averages 75.1. The Aggies are 8.5-point favorites in the latest UC San Diego vs. UC Davis odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 143. Before locking in any UC Davis vs. UC San Diego picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 16 of the season 71-42 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning more than $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UC Davis vs. UC San Diego and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for UC San Diego vs. UC Davis:

  • UC San Diego vs. UC Davis spread: UC Davis -8.5
  • UC San Diego vs. UC Davis over/under: 143 points
  • UC San Diego vs. UC Davis money line: UC San Diego +328, UC Davis -430
  • UCSD: The Tritons are 4-0 against the spread in their last four road games
  • UCD: The Aggies are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 Monday games
  • UC San Diego vs. UC Davis picks: See picks at SportsLine

Featured Game| UC Davis Aggies vs. UC San Diego Tritons

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Why UC Davis can cover

Senior forward Christian Anigwe has been red hot of late, reaching double-figure scoring in each of the last four games. He scored 15 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a 73-62 win over Cal State Northridge on Wednesday, his second double-double of the year. He has scored 20 points or more in four games, including two with 22. For the season, Anigwe averages 12 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.4 blocks per game.

Junior Kane Milling is one of five Aggies scoring six or more points per game. He is averaging 6.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He scored eight points in the last matchup against UC San Diego, and has reached double-figure scoring in six games. He scored a season-high 19 points in a 67-48 win over Cal State Bakersfield on Jan. 7.

Why UC San Diego can cover

Junior guard Bryce Pope powers the Tritons. He is averaging 18.4 points, 4.4 rebounds, 1.3 assists and 1.3 steals per game. He is connecting on 42.9% of his field goals and 77.3% of his free throws. In the first meeting with UC Davis, he scored 18 points, while grabbing four rebounds and dishing out three assists. He is coming off a 24-point and eight-rebound effort on Saturday against Cal State Northridge.

Sophomore forward Francis Nwaokorie has scored in double figures in six consecutive games, and has posted a pair of double-doubles on the year. He scored 26 points and grabbed 14 rebounds in a 112-110 triple-overtime loss to Long Beach State on Jan. 21. He scored 10 points and grabbed 12 rebounds in an 81-76 win over Bethesda on Dec. 2. For the season, he is averaging 12.2 points, seven rebounds, 1.2 assists and 1.1 steals per game.

How to make UC Davis vs. UC San Diego picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 142 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.