UFC Mexico: Torres vs Duncan Betting Analysis and Prediction

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UFC Mexico: Torres vs Duncan Betting Analysis and Prediction

One of the most underrated upcoming UFC fights on this weekend’s UFC schedule is this lightweight matchup between Manuel Torres and Chris Duncan. Torres is welcoming the Scottish prospect to his home country of Mexico on Saturday and they will open up the main card with a bang–it’s almost guaranteed.

Torres vs Duncan Picks

  • Pick: Torres by Decision.

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan Information

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan

Location of the game: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Federal District, Mexico

Date and Time: February 24, 2024.10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Torres is coming off a highlight first-round KO win over Nikolas Motta last June.

Duncan is coming off a unanimous decision victory over Yanal Ashmoz last July in London.

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan Betting Analysis

Manuel Torres

Torres is a Mexican mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 14-2, including 7 TKO/KO victories and 6 submissions at the age of 28. He is a Dana White’s Contender Series alum and hasn’t seen the second round of a bout since 2018, which was the only time in his 16-fight professional career.

Torres is a 5’10” lightweight with a 73” reach, fighting out of switch stances. With only three appearances in the octagon, his stats are inflated with an average of 9.56 significant strikes landed per minute and 3.76 significant strikes absorbed per minute as well. He also has a 100% takedown defense so far.

Chris Duncan

Duncan is a Scottish mixed martial artist with an 11-1 professional MMA record, including 7 TKO/KO wins and 1 submission under his belt. Much like his opponent this weekend, he earned his UFC contract by wowing the UFC brass at Dana White’s Contender Series.

Duncan is a 5’10” orthodox with a 71” reach. He averages 5.08 significant strikes landed and 3.74 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the octagon. He adds 3.63 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 39% rate, along with a perfect 100% takedown defense.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan Betting Preview

Before betting on the matchups filling up this weekend’s UFC fight schedule, you must first understand the styles of each fighter, along with what the oddsmakers say about these matchups. That is when you can make a proper Torres vs Duncan prediction to win money around.

The UFC odds have this as a closely matched bout with Torres coming in as the -156 betting favorite over the +136 Duncan. Odds heavily favor this bout to end inside the distance at -700, with the over/under placed at 1.5 rounds and the under 1.5 rounds option priced at -200 according to BetUS. The oddsmakers expect this fight to end quickly.

Despite their similar physical capabilities, one fighter clearly demonstrates a higher level of technical expertise in this matchup.

Torres is a very fun fighter to watch. He mixes up his attacks so well and seems to have made a huge jump in his skills since making it on DWCS. Manuel is calm, focused, and keeps his opponents guessing and uncomfortable. He has a great front kick, and low kick, and throws elbows with bad intentions.

Duncan is a high-pace brawler with power in his hands and solid wrestling ability. He will look to cause chaos in the octagon and use those moments to either land his big shots or time up a takedown to continue his pressure on the ground.

Manuel Torres vs Chris Duncan Betting Prediction

The official Torres vs Duncan prediction is that Torres will shine as a very dangerous upcoming prospect in the UFC’s toughest division. He will get his hand raised after a decision victory. 

Taking Torres by decision is not only to help with the payout and take a big risk, but it’s logical as well. Known for his resilience, Duncan consistently proves himself to be one of the toughest UFC fighters on the roster, remaining dangerous in the cage despite facing multiple injuries.

On our UFC predictions, this will be a 15-minute masterclass by Torres behind his jab and leg kicks. This will be yet another awesome fight for the Mexican fans to watch and enjoy.

  • Pick: Torres by Decision.

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