Jared Gordon vs Mark Madsen Pick, 11/11/2023 Predictions UFC 295 Odds
Madison Square Garden in New York City
Saturday, November 11, 2023
Jared Gordon will face off against Mark Madsen at UFC 295 on Saturday, November 11, 2023. The odds have Gordon coming in at -185 while Madsen is priced at +154.
Jared "Flash" Gordon comes into this bout holding a record of 19-6-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 68". Mark "The Olympian" Madsen measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 12-1-0. The 39-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of significant strikes, Jared Gordon connects on 5.32 per minute while Mark Madsen connects on 3.24 significant strikes per minute. Gordon is connecting on 57% of the significant strikes he attempts and Madsen lands 47%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Flash" takes 3.28 significant strikes per min and "The Olympian" allows 3.67. Gordon also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Madsen is able to stop 53% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
In the grappling category, Jared Gordon is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.01 times per 3 rds. Gordon is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries and stuffing 62% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Madsen is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his takedown attempts and stopping 62% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Gordon is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Madsen goes for 0.9 submissions per 3 rds.
In his last fight, Jared Gordon fought Bobby Green and the fight ended in a no contest via a head butt from Green in round 1. Green landed 23 of 69 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Gordon ended the night having landed 17 of 53 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Green landed 23 of 69, which gave him a rate of 33%. He ended up landing 15 of 56 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Gordon landed 32% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 17 of 53. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 9 of 34 to the head. 73% of the significant strikes connected on by Green and 100% of them landed by Gordon were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Mark Madsen, he went up against Grant Dawson and wound up losing the fight via rear naked choke in round 3. Dawson connected on 75% of his significant strikes at distance while Madsen landed 73% of his significant strikes at distance. Madsen ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 30. He ended up connecting on 11 of 26 significant strikes to the head. Dawson landed 33 of 49 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 17 of 31 to the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Dawson was 73 of 96 while Madsen was 50 of 70 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when John Castaneda faces off against Kyung Ho Kang. Castaneda steps into the Octagon holding a record of 20-6-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 71". Ho Kang stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 19-9-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old reaches 73". In the grappling category, John Castaneda takes his opponents to the mat 1.69 times per 3 rounds and Kyung Ho Kang is averaging a takedown 2.07 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Castaneda connects for an average of 4.24 strikes per min and lands 47% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Kyung Ho Kang, who connects on 49% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.09 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kevin Borjas is set to face off against Joshua Van. Van has a career mark of 8-1-0. The 22-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 65". Borjas measures 5'5" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-1-0. The 25-year-old stretches 68". In terms of wrestling, Joshua Van curbs 80% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries. Borjas is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the attempts he tries and stops 58% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Van takes 6.87 strikes/minute and he is dealing 8.00 per min. Borjas, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.87 strikes/minute and dishes out 5.80 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mark Madsen (+154)
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