UFC Sao Paulo Guide: Almeida vs Lewis Odds, Trends, Time, & FAQ

After taking over the United Arab Emirates two weeks ago, the Ultimate Fighting Championship continues its world tour with UFC Sao Paulo — live from Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Sao Paulo, Brazil — on Saturday, Nov. 4.

It’s setting to be a raucous night in Brazil with dozens of betting opportunities on the horizon. The journey starts with this UFC Sao Paulo guide, where we’ll take a look at the latest betting odds and trends for each of Saturday’s 14 upcoming fights.

Buckle up and let’s dive into everything you need to know for this weekend.

UFC Sao Paulo Main Card Odds

UFC Sao Paulo: Jailton Almeida vs. Derrick Lewis — Heavyweight Main Event

Almeida vs Lewis Odds

• Jailton Almeida (-450)
• Derrick Lewis (+260)

Round Total

• Over 1.5 Rounds (+275)
• Under 1.5 Rounds (-350)

Betting Trends

• Almeida has won 14 straight fights ahead of UFC Sao Paulo.
• Lewis is 2-4 in his last six fights.
• Almeida boasts a 100% finish rate.
• Lewis has been finished in three of his last four fights.
• Almeida has finished 14 of his 21 previous opponents in Round 1.
• Lewis is 7-5 in his last 12 fights as the underdog.

UFC Sao Paulo: Gabriel Bonfim vs. Nicolas Dalby — Welterweight Co-Main Event

Bonfim vs Dalby Odds

• Gabriel Bonfim (-600)
• Nicolas Dalby (+450)

Round Total

• Over 1.5 Rounds (+115)
• Under 1.5 Rounds (-145)

Betting Trends

• Bonfim is 15-0 in his professional MMA career.
• Dalby is 8-1 with two no-contests in his last 11 fights.
• Bonfim has won four straight fights by first-round submission.
• Dalby went the distance in each of his last four fights.
• Bonfim has a 100% finish rate.
• Dalby is 4-1-1 in his last six fights as the underdog.

Rodrigo Nascimento vs. Don'Tale Mayes — Heavyweight

Nascimento vs Mayes Odds

• Rodrigo Nascimento (-180)
• Don'Tale Mayes (+155)

Round Total

• Over 1.5 Rounds (-200)
• Under 1.5 Rounds (+160)

Betting Trends

• Nascimento is 3-1 with a no-contest since making his UFC debut.
• Mayes is also 3-1 with a no-contest in his last five fights.
• Nascimento is 3-1 in his last four fights as the favorite.
• Mayes lost his only previous fight as an underdog.
• Nascimento defeated Mayes via submission when they previously met in May 2020.

Caio Borralho vs. Abus Magomedov — Middleweight

Borralho vs Magomedov Odds

• Caio Borralho (-250)
• Abus Magomedov (+210)

Round Total

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+105)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-135)

Betting Trends

• Borralho is 11-0 in his last 11 fights heading into UFC Sao Paulo.
• Magomedov is 4-2-1 in his last seven fights.
• Five of Borralho’s last eight fights went the distance.
• Each of Magomedov’s last five fights ended with a finish.
• Borralho is 3-0 in his last three fights as the favorite.
• Magomedov lost his only previous fight as the underdog.

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Armen Petrosyan — Middleweight

Vieira vs Petrosyan Odds

• Rodolfo Vieira (-112)
• Armen Petrosyan (-108)

Round Total

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+140)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-170)

Betting Trends

• Vieira is 4-2 since making his UFC debut.
• Petrosyan is 5-1 in his last six fights.
• Vieira picked up eight of his nine career wins via submission.
• Petrosyan has won three of his last four fights by decision.
• Vieira is 3-2 in his last five fights as the favorite.
• Petrosyan is 2-1 in his last three fights as the underdog.

Ismael Bonfim vs. Vinc Pichel — Lightweight

Bonfim vs Pichel Odds

• Ismael Bonfim (-465)
• Vinc Pichel (+365)

Round Total

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+115)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-145)

Betting Trends

• Bonfim is 13-1 in his last 14 fights.
• Pichel is 7-2 in his last nine fights.
• Bonfim has a finish rate of 68.4%.
• Seven of Pichel’s last nine fights went the distance.
• Bonfim finished eight of his 12 previous opponents.
• Pichel is 2-2 in his last four fights as the underdog.

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Now, let’s get back to the rest of the fights…

• Elves Brener (-155)
• Esteban Ribovics (+135)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-155)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (+125)

• Brener is 4-0 in his last four fights.
• Ribovics is 1-1 in the UFC.
• Brener has finished five of his last eight opponents.
• Ribovics boasts a 91.7% finish rate.
• Only three of Brener’s last eight fights went the distance.
• Ribovics only went the distance twice in 13 previous fights.

• Victor Hugo (+206)
• Daniel Marcos (-241)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+120)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-150)

• This fight marks Hugo’s UFC Fight Night debut.
• Marcos is 2-0 in two previous UFC fights.
• Hugo finished six of his last seven opponents.
• Marcos finished three of his last five opponents.
• Hugo has an average fight time of 7:16.
• Marcos has an average fight time of 12:26 ahead of UFC Sao Paulo.

• Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (+270)
• Rinat Fakhretdinov (-330)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-105)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-125)

• Zaleski is 3-2 in his last five fights.
• Fakhretdinov is currently on a 20-fight winning streak.
• Each of Zaleski’s last four fights went the distance.
• Only three of Fakhretdinov’s 12 previous fights went the distance.
• Zaleski is 4-2 in his last six fights as the underdog.
• Fakhretdinov is 3-0 in his last three fights as the favorite.

• Vitor Petrino (-200)
• Modestas Bukauskas (+170)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+113)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-143)

• Petrino boasts a 9-0 career record ahead of UFC Sao Paulo.
• Bukauskas is 4-0 in his last four fights.
• Petrino has knocked out six of his nine previous opponents.
• Bukauskas has been finished twice in his last seven fights.
• Petrino has an average fight time of 12:26.
• Bukauskas has an average fight time of 9:55.

• Angela Hill (+102)
• Denise Gomes (-122)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-300)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (+240)

• Hill is 3-6 in her last nine fights.
• Gomes is 8-1 in her last nine fights.
• Each of Hill’s 10 previous fights reached the time limit.
• Seven of Gomes’ last 10 fights ended via KO/TKO.
• Hill is 2-9 in her last 11 fights as the underdog.
• Gomes has never fought as the favorite in the UFC.

• Lucas Alexander (TBD)
• David Onama (TBD)

• Over TBD Rounds (TBD)
• Under TBD Rounds (TBD)

• Alexander is 6-1 in his last seven fights.
• Onama is 3-2 in his last five fights.
• Alexander has knocked out three of his last five opponents.
• Only two of Onama’s 13 previous fights went the distance.
• Alexander has an average fight time of 8:31.
• Onama has an average fight time of 10:22.

• Eduarda Moura (-500)
• Montserrat Ruiz (+375)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (+130)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (-160)

• UFC Sao Paulo marks Moura’s Fight Night debut.
• Ruiz is 2-3 in her last five fights.
• Moura finished eight of her nine previous opponents.
• Ruiz was TKO’d in each of her last two outings.
• Only two of Moura’s fights lasted longer than one round.
• Four of Ruiz’s last seven fights went the distance.

• Kaue Fernandes (+105)
• Marc Diakiese (-125)

• Over 2.5 Rounds (-165)
• Under 2.5 Rounds (+135)

• Fernandes makes his debut at UFC Sao Paulo.
• Diakiese is 2-4 in his last six fights.
• Fernandes has a finish rate of 75.0%.
• Diakiese hasn’t finished an opponent since March 2017.
• Two of Fernandes’ last four fights went the distance.
• Diakiese went the distance in seven of his nine previous outings.

• UFC Sao Paulo will take place on Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023.

• UFC Sao Paulo will take place at Ginasio do Ibirapuera in Sao Paulo, Brazil.

• Preliminary Card Start Time: 6 p.m. ET
• Main Card Start Time: 9 p.m. ET

• The UFC Sao Paulo prelims and main card can both be viewed on ESPN+.