Gabriel Bonfim vs Nicolas Dalby Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds

Gabriel Bonfim vs Nicolas Dalby

UFC Sao Paulo

Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil

Saturday, November 4, 2023

Gabriel Bonfim will enter the Octagon against Nicolas Dalby at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The moneyline has Bonfim coming in at -575 while Dalby is at +425.

Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Nicolas "Danish Dynamite" Dalby measures in at 5'11" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 22-4-1 (2 NC). The 38-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Gabriel Bonfim is connecting on 6.08 per min and Nicolas Dalby connects on 3.93 significant strikes per minute. Bonfim connects on 37% of the significant strikes he tries while Dalby connects on 43%. Regarding defense, "Marretinha" takes 4.80 significant strikes per minute while "Danish Dynamite" absorbs 3.39. Bonfim also stops 66% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Dalby defends against 52% of them.

Concerning takedowns, Gabriel Bonfim is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is able to score a takedown 4.80 times per 15 minutes. Bonfim is finishing his takedown attempts on 85% of his tries and is defending 85% of all takedown tries against him. Dalby is taking his opponents down on 31% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Bonfim is the more skilled technician by trying 7.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Dalby looks to get 0.1 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Gabriel Bonfim went up against Trevin Giles and wound up getting the victory by a guillotine choke in round 1. Giles landed 1 of 5 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Bonfim walked away from this fight having landed 3 of 11 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Giles landed 1 of 5, giving him a percentage of 20%. He ended up landing 1 of 5 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Bonfim landed 27% of his significant strikes by landing 3 of 11. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 10 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Giles and 100% of them connected on by Bonfim were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Nicolas Dalby, he faced off with Muslim Salikhov and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Salikhov landed 82% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Dalby connected on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Dalby connected on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 86 of 140. He ended up connecting on 41 of 84 significant strikes aimed at the head. Salikhov ended up landing 57 of 88 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 34 of 58 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that fight, Salikhov ended up connecting on 70 of 101 and Dalby ended up connecting on 104 of 158 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Rodrigo Nascimento squares up against Don'Tale Mayes. Nascimento looks to add a win to his total of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old weighs in at 246 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Mayes stands in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 81". When it comes to grappling, Rodrigo Nascimento scores a takedown 1.58 times per 3 rds and Don'Tale Mayes is averaging a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Nascimento lands an average of 4.20 strikes per min and connects on 49% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Don'Tale Mayes, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 3.39 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Abus Magomedov is set to encounter Caio Borralho. Borralho comes into this fight with a record of 14-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Magomedov comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 25-5-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 78". In terms of wrestling, Caio Borralho thwarts 57% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 66% of his tries. Magomedov is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts and is able to defend against 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Borralho takes 1.86 strikes/minute while he dishes out 2.59 strikes/min. Magomedov, notwithstanding, is taking 8.39 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.60 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Nicolas Dalby (+425)

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