Warriors vs. Kings Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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Warriors vs. Kings Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

The Golden State Warriors (42-38) take the court as 9-point favorites against the Sacramento Kings (48-32) on April 7, 2023. The matchup’s point total is 235.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

  • Warriors odds to win: -414
  • Kings odds to win: +326
  • Spread: Warriors (-9)
  • Total: 235

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Game Time and Information

  • When: Friday, April 7, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
  • TV: NBCS-CA and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 4-8 record against the spread when favored by 9 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 9-point underdogs this season, the Kings are 1-0 against the spread.

These two teams average 239.8 points per game combined, 4.8 more than the over/under of 235.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 235.8 points per game, 0.8 more than the point total in this matchup.

The average over/under the Warriors have had in their matchups this season is 1.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for Sacramento this year is 4.5 points higher than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Golden State has compiled a 37-42-1 record against the spread.

The Kings have a 45-34-1 record against the spread this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors average 118.5 points per game (second in the league) while allowing 117.6 per contest (23rd in the NBA). They have a +70 scoring differential overall.

The Warriors average 44.4 rebounds per game (ninth in the league) compared to the 43.5 of their opponents.

Golden State makes 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.5 more than its opponents (13).

The Warriors score 113.1 points per 100 possessions (11th in the league), while allowing 111.9 points per 100 possessions (16th in the NBA).

The Warriors have scored at a higher clip at home than away from home in the 2022-23 season (119.7 at home versus 117.2 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than away from home (111.7 opponent points per home game versus 123.7 on the road).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings outscore opponents by 3.1 points per game (posting 121.3 points per game, first in league, and giving up 118.2 per outing, 26th in NBA) and have a +253 scoring differential.

The 42.6 rebounds per game Sacramento accumulates rank 20th in the league. Their opponents pull down 42.

The Kings hit 1.3 more threes per contest than the opposition, 13.8 (fifth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.5.

The Kings rank first in the league averaging 117.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 22nd, allowing 114.1 points per 100 possessions.

In 2022-23 Sacramento is scoring 5.4 more points per game at home (124) than away (118.6).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors active scoring leader is Jordan Poole, who averages 20.6 per contest to go with 2.7 rebounds and 4.5 assists.

Draymond Green contributes with 8.5 points, 6.9 assists and 7.3 rebounds a game, and Kevon Looney adds 7.1 points, 2.5 assists and 9.2 rebounds per contest.

Klay Thompson leads active Warriors in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 4.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Donte DiVincenzo picks up 1.3 takeaways per game, and Green records 0.8 rejections per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis racks up 12.4 rebounds per game, 7.3 assists per game, and 19.2 points per game.

De’Aaron Fox’s per-game averages this season are 25.2 points, 6.2 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

Kevin Huerter makes 2.7 treys per game.

Fox’s 1.2 steals and Keegan Murray’s 0.5 blocks per game are vital to the Kings’ defensive effort.

  • Pick ATS: Kings (+ 9)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (235)

  • Prediction:
    Kings 122 – Warriors 116