Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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05 April 2023

Mavericks vs. Kings Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Odds are against De’Aaron Fox and the Sacramento Kings (48-31), who are a 6.5-point underdog when they hit the court against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (37-42) on April 5, 2023. The point total for the game is 242.

Mavericks vs. Kings Odds

Mavericks odds to win: -261
Kings odds to win: +214
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
Total: 242

Mavericks vs. Kings Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

When: Wednesday, April 5, 2023 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
TV: BSSW and NBCS-CA

Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Kings?

Mavericks and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Mavericks are 5-18-1 against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.

When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this season, the Kings are 2-2 against the spread.

These two teams average a combined 235.5 points per game, 6.5 fewer points than the over/under of 242 set for this game.

Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 231.9 points per game, 10.1 fewer than the over/under in this matchup.

The Mavericks’ average point total in outings this season is 227.9, 14.1 points below the total in this game.

The average point total for Sacramento this year is 2.5 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

Dallas has a 29-46-4 record against the spread this season.

The Kings are 44-34-1 ATS this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks have a +26 scoring differential, putting up 114.1 points per game (16th in the league) and allowing 113.8 (15th in the NBA).

The 38.6 rebounds per game the Mavericks average rank 30th in the NBA, and are 5.6 fewer than the 44.2 their opponents record per outing.

Dallas makes 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) while shooting 37.1% from deep (ninth-best in the NBA). It is making four more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 11.1 per game while shooting 35.1%.

The Mavericks record 114.4 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the league), while giving up 113.9 points per 100 possessions (20th in the NBA).

The Mavericks’ offense has been much better in home games (115.2 PPG) compared to their play on the road (113.1 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better in home games (111.8 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (115.6 PPG allowed).

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings have a +257 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.3 points per game. They’re putting up 121.4 points per game, first in the league, and are allowing 118.1 per outing to rank 26th in the NBA.

Sacramento ranks 20th in the league at 42.4 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 42.1 its opponents average.

The Kings make 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league), 1.4 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.2% from beyond the arc (eighth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 37.2%.

The Kings average 117.5 points per 100 possessions (first in league), while conceding 114 points per 100 possessions (21st in NBA).

In 2022-23 Sacramento is scoring 5.4 more points per game at home (124) than on the road (118.6).

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

The Mavericks get 32.8 points, 8.7 rebounds and 8.1 assists from Doncic.

Tim Hardaway Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.

Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Christian Wood swats one shot per contest.