Warriors vs. Kings NBA Playoffs Game 3 Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

De’Aaron Fox’s Sacramento Kings (48-34) will look to earn an upset of Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (44-38) on April 20, 2023. The Warriors are a 5.5-point favorite. A 239.5-point total is set for the game.

Warriors vs. Kings Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -221
• Kings odds to win: +184
• Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
• Total: 239.5

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Game Time and Information

• When: Thursday, April 20, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
• Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
• TV: TNT, NBCS-BA, and NBCS-CA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Kings?

Warriors and Kings Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games they have played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, the Warriors are 16-17 against the spread.

The Kings have a 4-3 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 5.5 points or more.

Between them, these two teams average 0.1 more points per game (239.6) than this matchup’s over/under (239.5).

Golden State and Sacramento have seen its opponents average a combined 4.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 239.5 set for this outing.

The average point total for Warriors games this year is 3.4 fewer points than the total of 239.5 in this matchup.

The average over/under for Sacramento’s games this year is 0.7 fewer points than the point total of 239.5 in this outing.

Golden State’s ATS record is 39-42-1 this season.

The Kings’ ATS record is 45-36-1 this year.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors are outscoring opponents by 1.8 points per game with a +148 scoring differential overall. They put up 118.9 points per game (second in the NBA) and allow 117.1 per outing (21st in the league).

The Warriors average 44.6 rebounds per game (eighth in the league) while conceding 43.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.3 boards per game.

Golden State connects on 16.6 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.7 more than its opponents (12.9). It is shooting 38.5% from beyond the arc (second-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.4%.

The Warriors’ 113.5 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in the NBA, and the 111.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.

The Warriors have been better offensively at home, where they average 119.7 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 118.2 per game. Defensively, they are much better at home, where they concede 111.7 points per game, versus on the road, where they allow opponents to score 122.5 per game.

Kings Stats & Insights

The Kings outscore opponents by 2.6 points per game (posting 120.7 points per game, first in league, and giving up 118.1 per outing, 25th in NBA) and have a +217 scoring differential.

The 42.4 rebounds per game Sacramento accumulates rank 20th in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 42.2.

The Kings connect on 13.8 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 36.9% rate (ninth-best in NBA), compared to the 12.5 per game their opponents make, at a 37.3% rate.

The Kings rank first in the NBA with 117 points scored per 100 possessions, and 23rd defensively with 114.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Sacramento scores 123.4 points per game at home, and 118 away.

Warriors Key Players to Watch

Poole leads active Warriors’ players in points and assists per game, scoring 20.4 points and distributing 4.5 assists.

Kevon Looney contributes with 9.3 boards and 2.5 assists per game in addition to his 7 PPG scoring average.

Klay Thompson leads active Warriors in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 4.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Looney swats 0.6 shots per contest.

Kings Key Players to Watch

Domantas Sabonis pours in 12.3 rebounds per game and 7.3 assists per game to go with the 19.1 points he tallies a contest.

Fox’s per-game averages this season are 25 points, 6.1 assists and 4.2 rebounds.

Keegan Murray averages 2.6 made threes per game.

The Kings’ defensive effort gets a lift from Fox (1.1 steals per game) and Murray (0.5 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Kings (+ 5.5)
• Pick OU:

  Under (239.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Warriors 120 – Kings 118