Warriors vs. Kings prediction, odds, line, time: 2023 NBA playoff picks, Game 4 bets from model on 71-37 run
The Sacramento Kings will look to retake control and grab a 3-1 series lead when they meet the Golden State Warriors in Game 4 of their Western Conference first-round matchup on Sunday. The Kings (48-34), who finished with the third-best record in the West this season, have played well away from home, posting a 25-16 record on the road in 2022-2023. The Warriors (44-38), the defending NBA champions, were 30-22 against conference foes this season. This is the first postseason meeting between the teams.
Tip-off from the Chase Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are 7.5-point favorites in the latest Kings vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 237. Before making any Warriors vs. Kings picks, you need to see the NBA playoff predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2023 NBA playoffs a stunning 71-37 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning nearly $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Kings vs. Warriors and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Kings:
- Kings vs. Warriors spread: Warriors -7.5
- Kings vs. Warriors over/under: 237 points
- Kings vs. Warriors money line: Kings +275, Warriors -350
- SAC: The Kings are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games following a straight-up loss of more than 10 points
- GS: The Warriors are 40-16-1 ATS in their last 57 home games
- Kings vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game| Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings
Why the Warriors can cover
Stephen Curry is coming off a 36-point performance against the Kings on Thursday. He also grabbed six rebounds and added three assists, two steals and one block. He is averaging 31.3 points, five rebounds and 3.7 assists through the first three games of the series. During the regular season, he led the Warriors by averaging 29.4 points, as well as 6.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists. Curry has now scored 20 or more points in 108 postseason games, 30 or more in 53, and 40 or more in seven.
Klay Thompson has also been a force in the series. He scored 21 points in both Games 1 and 2, and has reached 20 or more points in six of the past seven games, including a high of 31 in a 130-115 win over San Antonio on March 31. He scored 13 points and grabbed five rebounds in Thursday's win. In 69 regular-season games, all starts, Thompson averaged 21.9 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.4 assists. See which side to back at SportsLine.
Why the Kings can cover
Malik Monk continues to play well off the bench. In three postseason games, he is averaging 18 points, four rebounds and three assists. Monk scored 32 points in the series opener in 29 minutes of action. He scored 18 points, grabbed six rebounds and dished out three assists in Game 2. He also played well against Golden State in three regular-season games, averaging 17.3 points, 5.3 assists and 4.7 rebounds. During the regular season, Monk averaged 13.5 points, 2.6 rebounds and 3.9 assists in 22.3 minutes in 77 games, all off the bench.
Harrison Barnes is coming off a 17-point performance on Thursday against the Warriors. He has reached double figures in nine consecutive games, including all three in the postseason. In 82 regular-season games, all starts, Barnes averaged 15 points, 4.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists. For his career, he is averaging 14.2 points, five rebounds and 1.8 assists. See which side to back at SportsLine.
How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 229 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can see the model's picks at SportsLine.
