Week 13 Player Props

With Malik Nabers less than 200 receiving yards shy of an LSU single-season school record, we're expecting the Tigers star wideout to close out the regular season with a bang. Read more as Nabers headlines our Week 13 college football player props.

The final week of the regular season is here and that means more college football player props.

The LSU Tigers are looking to break records offensively, and I'm expecting another big day for star receiver Malik Nabers.

Meanwhile, Dana Holgorsen’s Houston Cougars have been a mess defensively and the latest beneficiary is the UCF Knights, so I have my eyes on their running back, RJ Harvey.

Kansas State Wildcats tight end Ben Sinnott has also been priced down in college football odds this week, so I'll examine whether or not his receiving yardage prop is worth targeting.

College football props for Week 13

Picks made on November 24 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.

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College football player props this week

Malik Nabers is only 144 yards shy of the LSU Tigers' all-time receiving yards record. Nabers will have every opportunity to break that record on Saturday against the Texas A&M Aggies, and I’ll be betting on him to exceed his receiving yardage prop of 116.5.

The Tigers star wideout has been on an absolute tear this season, racking up more than 100 receiving yards in eight different games. He’s reached a level of consistent production where a monster game is expected weekly, and another monster game awaits in the regular season finale.

Nabers has eclipsed 120 receiving yards in four straight games and in five of his last six. While the Texas A&M Aggies boast a solid defensive front, their secondary has been torched, ranking 59th in EPA per pass and a concerning 124th in passing explosiveness. The Tigers offense comes in second in EPA per pass and third in passing success rate, so this qualifies as a substantial mismatch in favor of the LSU WR. 

The Aggies haven’t faced many capable aerial assaults this season, but they’ve been burned in their few tests. Miami threw for 374 yards and five touchdowns, Alabama had 321 passing yards and three touchdowns, and Mississippi racked up 387 yards and a pair of scores through the air.

Nabers is a focal point of this offensive attack, racking up at least seven targets in every game while seeing no less than nine targets in each of his last three. Quarterback Jayden Daniels is also currently at the heart of the Heisman Trophy odds discussion and will eye his favorite wide receiver plenty in hopes of increasing his odds of winning the award.

Malik Nabers prop: Over 116.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

UCF Knights running back RJ Harvey has been terrific this season, accumulating 1,391 scrimmage yards and 15 touchdowns as his team’s go-to offensive weapon during their first campaign in the Big 12.

Harvey's rushing yardage prop is set at 101.5 for his regular-season finale matchup with the Houston Cougars, a team that finds playing defense an optional task. They check into this matchup ranked 114th in EPA per play and 124th in success rate defensively — terrible numbers by all accounts.

This is as favorable of a matchup as there can possibly be and I expect another huge game for Harvey, who has rushed for at least 100 yards in five of his last six games and has found the end zone eight times in the last three games alone.

The Cougars have hardly been impressive in stopping opposing rushing attacks, allowing 1,800 rushing yards and 24 rushing touchdowns on the year. All four of their most recent opponents have rushed for at least 150 rushing yards and it’d be shocking if UCF didn’t eclipse that number. The Knights are a dominant force running the ball, checking in at 19th in EPA per rush and 24th in rushing success rate.

Harvey has been a high-usage player, handling at least 20 carries in each of his last three games. Considering the fact that Knights QB John Rhys Plumlee has been playing with a large knee brace lately and doesn’t seem 100% healthy, Harvey should continue to see a large amount of work as this team’s focal point of the offensive attack, and that provides me with enough confidence to attack this prop.

RJ Harvey prop: Over 101.5 rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel)

Kansas State Wildcats tight end Benn Sinnott has been a favorite target of quarterback Will Howard this season, racking up 39 receptions for 540 yards and five touchdowns.

Sinnott's receiving yardage prop is set at 38.5 on Saturday, which is frankly too low. He’s crossed this number in each of his last three games and in seven of his last eight, so this is close to a no-brainer.

While this is being billed as a difficult matchup on the surface against a tough Iowa State Cyclones defense, a closer inspection reveals that it isn’t quite as fear-inspiring as it initially appears. The Cyclones check in at 47th in EPA per pass and have been prone to the big play, ranking 109th in passing explosiveness.

Sinnott was banged up in Weeks 8 and 9 but has since proven to be at full strength, racking up 176 yards and two touchdowns across his last three games. Kansas State has been a wagon offensively, ranking 13th in success rate while scoring 38.1 points per game. The Wildcats should expect to move the ball in this matchup and their star tight end should be a big part of the offensive game plan.

Sinnott is a trusted member of the offense and has played a big role for a team that is searching for its ninth win of the season. No wide receiver has emerged as a reliable threat in KSU's offense, but Sinnott remains a dependable security blanket at TE.

Ben Sinnott prop: Over 38.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

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