Yankees Vs Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Yankees Vs Rays Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Yankees (18-16) visit the Tampa Bay Rays (27-7) at 1:40 PM ET on Sunday, with both teams hoping to win the series.

The Rays are an underdog (+102 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Yankees (-120). The over/under for the game is set at 7.5 total runs.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of May 7, 2023 at 11:13 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Yankees vs Rays Betting Lines

Yankees Betting Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 16 out of the 25 games, or 64%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York has a record of 14-9, a 60.9% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 11 of 34 chances this season.
  • In 34 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 17-17-0 ATS.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Rays Betting Insights

  • The Rays were defeated in the one game they played as the underdog this season.
  • Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +102 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 18 of its 34 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rays are 22-12-0 against the spread in their 34 games that had a posted line this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Gerrit Cole

  • Cole’s team is 6-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • Cole has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • Cole and his team have won each of the seven games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
  • Cole and his team have won each of the seven games he’s started this season.
  • In Cole’s seven starts with a total, the teams have hit the over one time.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Rays Probable Pitcher – Javy Guerra

  • Guerra (0-0) starts for the Rays, his second this season.
  • In his most recent appearance — out of the bullpen on Saturday — the right-hander threw one scoreless inning against the New York Yankees without surrendering a hit.
  • The Rays have not been the underdog on the moneyline when Guerra starts this season.
  • His team has won the only matchup he’s appeared in this season.
  • Guerra’s lone start with a total this season went under.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees are 8-3 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
  • New York’s .378 slugging percentage is 23rd in baseball.
  • The team has put up eight or more hits in 17 games this season, and is 11-6 in those contests.
  • New York is 8-2 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Yankees are 6-2 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Rays Hitting Trends

  • They have won 17 of the 19 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • In 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 16-1.
  • They have a record of 21-5 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Tampa Bay has won 20 of its 21 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • When drawing five or more walks in a game this season, they are undefeated across nine such contests.

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (+102)
Over/Under Pick: Under (7.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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