Rays vs. Brewers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks
The Tampa Bay Rays (33-13) will look for Yandy Diaz to extend a 12-game hitting streak versus the Milwaukee Brewers (24-20) on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at Tropicana Field.
The Rays are a home favorite (-209) against the Brewers (+175). The game’s over/under is set at 8.
The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of May 20, 2023 at 7:26 AM ET. Ready to bet?
Rays vs Brewers Betting Lines
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have entered the game as favorites 33 times this season and won 23, or 69.7%, of those games.
- Tampa Bay has entered six games this season favored by -209 or more, and won each of those games.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 67.6%.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 21 of 39 opportunities.
- The Rays are 21-18-0 ATS in their 39 games with a spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 16 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (43.8%) in those games.
- Milwaukee has played as an underdog of +175 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 36.4% chance of walking away with the win.
- Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 15 of its 37 opportunities.
- The Brewers are 16-21-0 against the spread in their 37 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Zach Eflin
- Eflin’s team is 1-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up four earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the New York Yankees.
- Eflin has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
- Eflin’s team has won 80% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (4-1).
- Eflin’s team is 6-1 when he starts this season.
- In games Eflin has started this season, the teams are 1-4-0 at hitting the over.
Rays Relief Pitchers
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Eric Lauer
- Lauer (4-4) takes the mound first for the Brewers in his ninth start of the season. He has a 4.54 ERA in 39 2/3 innings pitched, with 39 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Sunday against the Kansas City Royals, the left-hander threw 5 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs while surrendering two hits.
- Lauer enters the game with four outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
- The Brewers have a 2-2 record in Lauer’s four starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Lauer’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
- Lauer’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in two of seven contests.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays have a 20-9 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Tampa Bay is 18-2 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 28-17 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Tampa Bay is 27-12 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 13 games this season, and are 11-2 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 23-4 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee has won each of its three games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have won 21 of the 27 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 28 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-2.
- In 19 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 15-4
Rays vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-209)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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