Rays Vs Pirates: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions
The Tampa Bay Rays (23-6) host the Pittsburgh Pirates (20-9) to start a three-game series at Tropicana Field, with first pitch at 6:40 PM ET on Tuesday. The Rays are on the back of a series victory over the White Sox, and the Pirates a series win over the Nationals.
The Rays are the home favorite (-164) against the Pirates (+139). The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of May 2, 2023 at 7:23 PM ET. Ready to bet?
Rays vs Pirates Betting Lines
Rays Betting Insights
- This season, the Rays have won 23 out of the 28 games, or 82.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Tampa Bay has won 16 of its 18 games, or 88.9%, when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Rays.
- Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 16 of its 29 chances.
- The Rays are 20-9-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have won in 13, or 61.9%, of the 21 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won three of four games when listed as at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 41.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 15 of its 29 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates are 19-10-0 against the spread in their 29 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
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Rays Probable Pitcher – Javy Guerra
- Guerra did not pitch in a game with a spread last season.
- The 27-year-old righty has pitched in relief eight times already this year, but will make his first start.
- Guerra did not appear in a game when his team was the moneyline favorite last season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Roansy Contreras
- The Pirates will send Contreras (3-1) out for his sixth start of the season. He is 3-1 with a 3.58 ERA and 24 strikeouts through 27 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last time out was on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the right-hander tossed six scoreless innings while allowing two hits.
- Contreras is looking for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.4 frames per start.
- The Pirates are 3-1 in Contreras’ four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Contreras’ team has won four of his five starts.
- Contreras has started five games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in three of them.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
Rays Hitting Trends
- The Rays are 14-2 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Tampa Bay has gone 13-1 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 24 games this season, and is 20-4 in those contests.
- Tampa Bay has an 18-1 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rays have drawn five or more walks in eight games this season, and won each time.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They’ve won all 13 of their games in which they’ve hit two or more home runs this season.
- Pittsburgh has won each of its 10 games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- They have won 14 of the 18 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 15 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 13-2.
- They have won nine of their 11 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Rays vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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