Dolphins vs. Chargers Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 1: Tua Airs it Out in L.A.

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08 September 2023

Dolphins vs. Chargers Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 1: Tua Airs it Out in L.A.

The Miami Dolphins and Los AngelesChargers meet for what should be one of the best Week 1 games. Read on for our top Dolphins vs. Chargers predictions based on the best NFL odds.

CanMiami quarterback Tua Tagovailoa stay healthy? If he can, then the Dolphins have a chance to be serious AFC contenders. Yet, even a healthy Tagovailoa didn’t performwell last season against the Chargers. He was just 10-for-28 for 145 yards and onetouchdown as the Dolphins fell 23-17.

Chargers QB JustinHerbert was much better in last year’s meeting. He threw for 367 yards and one TD, as he led the Chargers to a much-needed late-season victory.Herbert enters the season healthy, surrounded by some of the best weapons infootball. Will he beat Tua and the Dolphins again?

Hereis our best Dolphins vs. Chargers prediction (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Dolphins vs.Chargers prediction

Tua Tagovailoa Over 254.5 passing yards (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

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WhenTua is healthy, he's incredibly dangerous. Even when he can’t lead his team tovictory or makes a lot of mistakes, he still manages to rack up passing yards.Last season, he threw for over 254.5 yards in nine of the 12 games in which heplayed in their entirety.

Obviously,he performed terribly against the Chargers last year, and they didn’t even havetheir best defense. But that contest truly was an outlier in a seasonfull of great performances.

Miami wideouts TyreekHill and Jaylen Waddle are back, which means explosive playsare in the cards for Week 1. The Chargers did have one of the best passdefenses in the league last season, allowing just 200.4 air yards per game,but these receivers will be fresh in the season opener, making thema tough matchup for anyone.

Thereason we like this player prop instead of the Over is because these two defenses are more than capable of keeping this game in the low to mid-20s. Asshown last season, even when yards are easy to come by, points may not be. Thisstill should be an exciting back-and-forth contest, and with the absence of agreat rushing attack, the Phins will rely on their guy to lead themto victory.

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Dolphins vs.Chargers best odds

Pickingthe right one of our best sports betting apps for this bet greatly increases the value of your wager.While FanDuel offers a total of 252.5, the price is -114. That’s stillbetter than the 254.5 at -115 you'll find at DraftKings and BetMGM, but it’snot worth the price for two extra yards.

bet365 also offers a line of 254.5 at a price of -110, and we like this more than FanDuel. But Caesars is clearly the best place to wager. It offers 254.5 at +100. This is great value for the total with very little risk for agreat reward.

Dolphins vs.Chargers odds

TheChargers opened as 3-point favorites, and though they've received 58% ofwagers, that hasn't been enough to move the line at all. With the high-profilenature of this matchup, oddsmakers may just leave this spread at thekey number considering this is one of the few games in Week 1 where either team can truly win.

Thetotal opened at 51, and it hasn't moved despite overwhelming support for the Over. It seems bettors are willing to forget what happened between thesetwo teams last season because they’re expecting a high-scoring affair. However,oddsmakers seem happy with where the number is. Maybe this goes up ahalf-point, but it's unlikely it hits or goes past 52.