Dolphins vs. Patriots Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for SNF

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17 September 2023

Dolphins vs. Patriots Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for SNF

We’re cautioning bettors fromoverlooking New England at home in our Dolphins vs. Patriots SGP predictionsbased on the best NFL odds.

Althoughthe New England Patriots came up short in slaying the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 1, we saw things fromtheir offense that suggest the Pats can hang with Tua Tagovailoa andthe Miami Dolphins in Week 2’s SNF.

Afteran enthralling Week 1 win over the Chargers, is Miami walking into a trap gameunder the lights in Foxborough?

Hereare our best Dolphins vs. Patriots SGP predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).

Dolphins vs. Patriotsparlay for SNF

(Oddsvia FanDuel)

Patriots +2.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mac Jones Over 237.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Tyreek Hill 80+ receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

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SGP predictions forDolphins vs. Patriots

Patriots +2.5 (-102) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Roughly 61% of wagers have been placed on Miami at-2.5 in this matchup, so this seems like an opportunity to fade the public.Miami was susceptible to the Chargers' offense last week, allowing 34 pointswhile giving up a ton to the running back tandem of Austin Ekeler and JoshuaKelley.

The Patriots can utilize their running back duo of RhamondreStevenson and Ezekiel Elliott to a similar level of success, both through theair and on the ground. In a divisional game in which the road Dolphins have allthe momentum coming in, this feels like a trap for Miami.

Although the moneyline would be an attractiveboost to our parlay, FanDuel’s -102 odds on this spread is our choice in whatcould conceivably be a one-point game in either direction between these AFCEast foes.

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Mac Jones Over 237.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jones was one of the pleasant surprises ofNFL Week 1 as he attempted 54 passes and threw for 316 yards in a close loss tothe Eagles. The New England passing game was rather limited in 2022 underJones, but the play-callers must have known that it would be necessary to letMac air it out to try and keep pace with the Eagles.

Facing an explosive Dolphins offense, thisweek should be no different. Although the Dolphins were more generous to theground game in Week 1 than they were to Justin Herbert’s passing efforts, I’mexpecting another high-scoring environment in which Jones will utilize his runningbacks and tight ends in the short-to-intermediate passing game.

Jones’ passing total at FanDuel (237.5, -110odds) is more attainable than the comparable alternate total at DraftKings(249.5, +105) without costing our total parlay odds much in the process.

Tyreek Hill 80+ receiving yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hill had a lot to say during theoffseason regarding his plans for the 2023 campaign, declaring on his podcastthat he would break the 2,000 receiving yards barrier this year. In his firstgame, Hill backed up his big talk with an outing that put him on pace to crack3,000 yards.

Regardless of coverage, Hill is goingto get his. The fact that Jones actually seems competent distributing thefootball after a solid opening game suggests that Sunday night could be asimilar scoring environment to the shootout the Dolphins played in Week 1.

DraftKings has an alternate total for Hill at74.5 yards, but the -145 odds aren’t as attractive as the -120 price we get forHill to record 80-plus receiving yards at FanDuel.

Dolphins-Patriots SGP picks made09/17/2023 at 12:15 p.m. ET.