Dolphins vs. Bills Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 4: Bills Favored in AFC East Showdown
The NFL's two highest-scoring teams meet in Week 4, as we make our top Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Billspredictions based on the bestNFL odds from our best sports betting sites.
TheMiami Dolphins’ offense exploded in Week 3, scoring 70 points and netting 726 yards,as they moved to 3-0 this season. Most impressive about the offensiveperformance is they didn’t even have their second-leading receiver JaylenWaddle.
Meanwhile,the Buffalo Bills very quietly dominated the Washington Commanders. They forced fiveturnovers and possessed the ball for nearly 35 minutes. Since their Week 1loss, they’ve outscored opponents 75-10.
Hereis our best Dolphins-Bills prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our bestNFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a1-to-5-star scale).
Dolphins vs.Bills prediction
Dolphins +2.5 (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐
TheDolphins haven’t won in Buffalo since 2016. However, last season, theyplayed in Orchard Park twice, and lost both games by three. In the Wild CardRound, Miami fell 34-31 as backup quarterback Skylar Thompson barelycompleted 35% of his passes.
Atthe moment, this Dolphins’ offense looks unstoppable. It averages 43.3points per game, and though that's skewed by a 50-point win over the Denver Broncos, itaveraged 30 per contest in the first two weeks.
Butif the Dolphins are going to win this matchup, they’ll need their defenseto show up. In the playoffs last year, Miami picked off Buffalo QB Josh Allen twiceafter failing to intercept him even once during the regular season. Allen already threw four interceptions this year. If he’s reckless in this game, hisdefense won’t be able to bail him out as they did in the past.
Inthe last two weeks, oddsmakers presented fishy lines in Dolphins games.They were favored by just 2.5 over the New England Patriots and 6 over theDenver Broncos. Yet, the Dolphins keep covering the spread. This week will beno different. In what should be a high-scoring contest, give me the offense withmore weapons as part of our NFL predictions for Week 4.
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
Not intended for use in MA
Affiliate Disclosure: Sportsbook Review may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook
Dolphins vs.Bills best odds
OnlyFanDuel offers +3. Their -115 price is slightly inflated, but it’s notas bad as it could be. However, this is a matchup we believe theDolphins can win. Because of that we recommend taking +2.5 at any of the three best sportsbooks offering +100.
Ifyou want the key number, FanDuel is the place to bet. They’rethe only sportsbook currently offering a price of less than -120 for +3.
Dolphins vs.Bills odds
TheBills opened at 3.5-point favorites, but that number quickly dropped to 2.5after last week’s results. The spread now hovers around 2.5 or 3 dependingon the book. More than 54% of wagers back Buffalo, but without anoverwhelming amount of support for either side, expect this spread to staybetween 2.5 and 3.5 throughout the week.
Thetotal opened at 53.5, and despite 68% of wagers backing the Over, the numberhasn’t moved. This is a really high number by NFL standards. Last week, we sawa similar situation where bettors backed the Over in the L.A.Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings game, but oddsmakers didn't move the line off54.
Dolphins vs.Bills game info
- When: Sunday, Oct. 1 at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 77 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 6-mph winds
Dolphins vs. Bills prediction madeFriday, 9/29/23 at 10:33 a.m. ET
Kentucky bettors: Sports betting is here!
Kentucky sports betting launched on Sept. 28 - so sign up with the best Kentucky sportsbook promosbest Kentucky sports betting apps!
21+ and present in KY. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
NFL betting odds pages
(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.
