Falcons vs. Jaguars Predictions, Picks, Odds Today: Jags Looking To Snap Losing Streak In London

We have our first London game of the NFL season, as the 2-1 Atlanta Falcons take on the 1-2 Jacksonville Jaguars “at home” in Wembley Stadium.

Each of these teams is coming off double-digit losses last week, as the Falcons failed to score a touchdown against the Detroit Lions, and the Jaguars were embarrassed by the Houston Texans.

The Falcons vs. Jaguars betting lines have remained largely the same all week since they opened last Sunday night. It’s a pivotal matchup for both teams, as the Falcons hope to avoid falling to .500 and the Jaguars to a 1-3 record.

The Jaguars entered this season with very high expectations of their offense, as Trevor Lawrence was expected to take another step in his rise to stardom after a spectacular second season. Yet through three weeks, they rank just 29th in expected points added (EPA) per play and have scored just two touchdowns in the last two weeks.

On the other side, the Falcons are who we thought they were heading into the season. They have an elite running game, led by rookie RB Bijan Robinson, but their biggest question mark is starting QB Desmond Ridder, who has had an up-and-down three weeks to start the season.

Which of these teams will get back on track in London? Our betting team gives their Falcons vs. Jaguars predictions, picks against the spread, favorite player props, and more.

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Lines, Start Time, and More

All odds are from DraftKings Sportsbook unless stated otherwise.

• Spread
  Jaguars -3
• Moneyline
  Falcons +145, Jaguars -175
• Over/Under
  42.5
• Game Time
  9:30 am ET
• Location
  Wembley Stadium
• How To Watch
  ESPN+

Bearman: I don’t have a strong play for this game, but I am still not buying the Falcons. The 2-0 start was nice, but last week’s loss to the Lions was a reality check.

The Jags have underperformed in their 1-2 record but were right there against the Chiefs, and although they lost to the Houston Texans last week, they had more yards of offense but had costly turnovers and allowed a freak kickoff return TD to a backup TE.

This feels like a “show me” game for the Jags, so I’ll lay the three points.

Pick: Jaguars -3 (-110 at DraftKings)

Blewis: The Jaguars have been very disappointing so far. They had the potential to be one of the best teams in the AFC this season but haven’t looked good on either side of the ball so far. They looked poised to take advantage of a weak AFC South, but it looks like far from a sure thing that they will win this division.

If there has been any bright spot for this Jaguars team so far this season, it has been their run defense. Through three weeks, they’re second in success rate in stopping the run.

However, they haven’t faced a rushing attack like the Falcons, but we saw last week in their loss against the Lions that they aren’t completely matchup proof, as they were held to 2.2 yards per carry.

I also expect the Jags to get less unlucky. Despite losing by 20 points to the Texans, they out-gained them by 40 yards, and 14 of Houston’s points came from a kick return TD and a 68-yard pass play. Return touchdowns are rare, and I’m not expecting an explosive passing game from Ridder.

The Jags should also improve their red zone efficiency sooner rather than later, as this offense is too talented only to convert 20% of their red zone appearances into touchdowns, which has been the case the last two weeks.

This is also a Calvin Ridley revenge game. He ranks 6th among wide receivers in target share in the red zone.

Picks: Jaguars -3 (-110 at DraftKings), Calvin Ridley anytime touchdown (+135 at DraftKings)

Soppe: Jacksonville currently holds an implied total of at least 23 points in most spots and that is a number I’m happy to chase.

Since Thanksgiving, the Jags have scored at least 23 points six times. One of those was a 28-point blowout of the Texans, a game that saw statistical limitations due to a 21-0 halftime score, a level of domination that we don’t expect to see in this game, so let’s take a look at the other five instances:

• ATS: 5-0
• Average coverage margin: 8.1
• Trevor Lawrence’s pass yards: 307.2
• Trevor Lawrence pass TDs: 3.2
• Top pass catcher, catches: 8.8
• Top pass catcher, yards: 115.6

Use those numbers to populate your prop/SGP card however you’d like. My favorite revolves around Calvin Ridley and his combination of volume/upside. I expect this game to flourish, and with Zay Jones out again, Ridley is set to be the straw that stirs this drink!

Pick: Calvin Ridley over 63.5 receiving yards (-115 at DraftKings)

Katz: Much like Brian and Soppe, I am very much in on a Calvin Ridley bounce-back game. Rather than rehash all of their analysis, I will simply add what I am doing.

This is a standalone game early on Sunday morning. Let’s have a little bit of fun. Look for Trevor Lawrence to get Ridley involved early. I think the Jaguars win this game, and I think they score first.

Longshot Pick: Calvin Ridley first touchdown (+900 at FanDuel)

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