Panthers vs Bears Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Props & Picks

Panthers vs Bears Best Bets: Thursday Night Football Props & Picks

The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NFL betting staff is targeting for Panther vs Bears on Thursday Night Football. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet.

The must-have app for NFL bettors

The best NFL betting scoreboard

Free picks from proven pros

Live win probabilities for your bets

Panthers vs Bears Odds | Thursday Night Football

Thursday, Nov. 9

8:15 p.m. ET

Prime Video

Another fine NFL Thursday deserves the best NFL bets today — so here's the only NFL betting preview you need with Panthers vs Bears Best Bets for Thursday Night Football.

Justin Fields and Khalil Herbert are missing another game for the Bears — nonetheless, the books have Chicago as 3.5-point favorites on the spread while the over/under sits at 38.5. We have betting analysts who are targeting the game total under 38.5, plus player props for D.J. Moore, Cole Kmet and Adam Thielen.

Our staff of NFL analysts are all over this game with this betting preview. From Panthers vs Bears over/under picks to player props, here are our experts' four best bets for Thursday Night Football.

Primetime unders are hitting at more than a 75% clip in 2023 (22-7), and we have another one to back on Thursday Night Football. In this case, it's also a pick that our Luck Rankings are backing with a Luck Total of -6.8.

Both teams should play well toward the under. The Bears play at the third-slowest pace in neutral situations and 10th slowest among all plays. They're also the fourth-heaviest rushing team as measured both by raw rush percentage and passing rate over expectation (PROE).

The Panthers, meanwhile, should struggle to run against a Bears defense that ranks first in rushing yards per attempt to running backs. That will force Bryce Young to beat them through the air, which would be a tough ask for a rookie who is dead last in aggressiveness and second to last in intended air yards per attempt, according to NFL NextGen stats.

Thus, even through the air, the Panthers are likely going to be eating clock through shorter plays.

The total has been steadily dropping all week so make sure you grab this ASAP before it hits the key number of 37.

Pick:

Action’s FanDuel promo code unlocks $200 in bonus bets for new signups.

New users get $365 in bonus bets when they sign up using Action's bet365 bonus code.

There are very few reasons to pay attention to this game, but D.J. Moore is one of them. This is Moore's revenge game, and you better believe he's had this spot circled on his calendar since the schedule came out.

Moore gets to play his old team, which is missing a slew of defensive starters and bleeding production defensively. That's especially the case against opposing WR1s, against whom they rank bottom seven on the season in DVOA. That means even another Tyson Bagent start shouldn't throw us off Moore's scent.

Since Bagent took over, Moore hasn't reached the heights he did early in the season with Justin Fields. He had  just 54, 55 and 44 receiving yards in the past three games, all totals right around this number. But that means he's still gone over this total in two of the three, and the one under was against a great Saints defense when the Bears turned it over five times.

I'll bank on Chicago feeding Moore and making sure everyone leaves Thursday night knowing who got the better part of that deal. Give me the over.

Pick:

Betting Panther play props will be available to North Carolina residents in 2024! North Carolina sports betting has been legalized and could come into effect for the NFL playoffs!

The Adam Thielen money train finally derailed last week as he failed to go over on receptions for the first time since the season opener. I’m jumping back on it, though.

Thielen’s averaging 7.5 catches per game, which is the fifth-most in the NFL. He averages 9.6 targets and hauls in virtually everything thrown his way. His 81.6 catch per target percentage is third-best among all wide receivers and tops among wideouts averaging at least four catches per game.

Meanwhile, quarterbacks have completed 70.2% of their passes against the Bears, which is the third-highest rate in the league. QBs also average a 103.3 passer rating against them, which is second-worst in the NFL, thanks mostly to their allowed completion percentage and giving up a league-high 20 TD catches. (Here is where I also tell you that a Thielen Anytime TD at +200 has strong value to consider, as well.)

Anyway, add it all up and Thielen has a strong chance to eclipse 6.5 receptions on Thursday Night Football. He’s gone over that number six times in eight games.

Bryce Young inexplicably targeted Thielen only six times last Sunday despite attempting 39 passes, which is fewer than half the targets he saw over the prior three games (11, 13, 13). I’d be surprised if the rookie didn’t learn his lesson and look for Thielen more against the Bears.

Pick:

Tyson Bagent has been locked onto Cole Kmet lately; the tight end has 16 receptions on 18 targets for 134 yards and two touchdowns over his last two games. For the season, Kmet has five touchdowns in nine games; he had seven touchdowns in 17 games in 2022.

The Panthers present a solid matchup for Kmet as they have a poor defense that ranks 28th overall in defensive DVOA. I would hit this line all the way down to +220.