Thursday night football picks and predictions for Bills-Patriots

Buffalo is the co-leader of the AFC East with the Miami Dolphins. New England is in the basement, but is two games behind the Bills and Dolphins and could make a playoff push. The Patriots have covered the spread six times in 11 games this season. The total is 43½ points, with Buffalo favored by 3½. Bills quarterback Josh Allen has been injured and may be missing offensive coordinator Brian Daboll.

Josh Allen has averaged 260 passing yards per game since he suffered a UCL injury in his throwing elbow against the New York Jets in Week 9. Since then, he's averaged 253 yards. The Bills’ passing rate on first and second downs has dropped from 57.4 percent in Weeks 1 to 9 to 51.5 percent since Allen was hurt.

The Bills' home game against the Browns was moved to Detroit because of snow. The team is playing their third road game in 11 days. Buffalo's locker room has been laid low by the flu this week.