UFC on ESPN 44: Max Holloway vs Arnold Allen odds, picks & predictions

In a featherweight bout in the main event, Max Holloway and Arnold Allen meet at UFC on ESPN 44 at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims are on ESPN+ at 5:30 p.m. ET, while the main card can be viewed on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8:30 p.m. ET.

Holloway, the former champ, lost last time out in a chance for the strap at UFC 276. He was stopped by Alexander Volkanovski via unanimous decision. Holloway has gone the distance in each of his past 7 fights, going 3-4 with 3 losses to Volkanovski.

Allen streaks into this fight with 10 straight victories since arriving at the UFC level, including a 2nd-round KO/TKO against Calvin Kattar last time out in October. He had a 1st-round KO/TKO against Dan Hooker on March 19, 2022, in the fight prior, but his 4 previous bouts went the distance.

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UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

UFC on ESPN 44: Holloway vs. Allen picks and predictions

Records: Holloway (23-7-0) | Allen (19-1-0)

Holloway (-185) is just a little too expensive for a standalone wager, although he isn’t a terrible play as part of a multi-fighter parlay.

Holloway has gone the distance in 7 straight fights, and he’ll tap into his experience to hang a loss on Allen, so ROUND AND METHOD OF VICTORY: HOLLOWAY BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is a much better value for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 1 1/2 times.

If you don’t want to declare a winner, then WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? YES (-135) isn’t priced out of line. Allen has gone the distance in 4 of his past 6 fights, while Holloway has needed the help of the judges to determine a winner in 7 in a row.

If you’d like a little wiggle room, betting OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-115) is also a recommended play.

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