2023 Minnesota Vikings odds: Justin Jefferson props and more

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The Vikings won 13 games in 2022 to win the NFC North for the first time in five years. But they seemed a bit fraudulent after some very close games, and that was proved to be true when they fell to the Giants in the wild card round of the playoffs.

Could Minnesota win the division in back-to-back years for the first time since 2008-09 and go farther in the playoffs or will they trip up and take a step back this year? 

Minnesota Vikings best bets: Expert picks for 2023 NFL futures odds

The Vikings racked up 13 wins to finish the season tied for the second-best record in the league. But there were many non-believers in this team considering they had a minus-3 point differential for the season and won 11 of their games by just 8 points or less.

Those non-believers were proven right in the wild card round when the No. 6 seed Giants came into Minnesota and beat the No. 3 Vikings 31-24.

After an offseason that saw key additions in Jordan Addison (draft), Marcus Davenport (FA) and Byron Murphy (FA), plus key veterans Dalvin Cook and Adam Thielen be released, and Za’Darius Smith traded, what type of results will we see in Minnesota this time around?

Minnesota Vikings NFC North Odds: (+270 or better)

The Vikings won the NFC North by four games last season and yet find themselves with the second best odds to win the division in 2023.

Detroit is the current favorite at +145, followed by Minnesota at +270, Green Bay at +350 and Chicago at +420.

The Lions were hot at the tail end of the season and just narrowly missed the playoffs. But Minnesota still has arguably the best receiver in the league in Justin Jefferson and have a solid overall offensive core with Kirk Cousins, Alexander Mattison and T.J. Hockenson.

Getting the current division champions at this high of plus money is certainly great value – especially this season, with the Lions having never won the North, Aaron Rodgers out of Green Bay, the Bears still in a rebuild.

Minnesota Vikings 2023 win total prop: Over 8.5 wins (-130 or better)

The Vikings have a number of tough games on their schedule this season, including visiting Philadelphia, a revamped Denver squad and Cincinnati, plus hosting the Chargers, Chiefs and 49ers.

Minnesota could realistically lose all these games, with the Broncos game the most likely to maybe turn into a win.

But, they’ll also see No. 1 overall draft pick Bryce Young’s Panthers, a hungry Raiders team and the new look Saints with Derek Carr under center. Those games are all very winnable and after what we saw last season, we know that tight games are the Vikings’ bread and butter.

And we haven’t even included the division games, which, while they will be battles, should play into Minnesota’s hands well again.

Addison taking over as the No. 2 receiver will be a key for the Vikings’ success – Thielen was a shell of his former self in the last few seasons playing in Jefferson’s shadow. But Addison is a rookie and will know his place from the jump.

Alexander Mattison plays well enough to fill in for Cook’s absence and the defensive pieces the team added should help keep them in these tight games.

Now listen, don’t expect another 13 wins out of the Vikings this year, but nine or 10 shouldn’t be a huge ask from this squad.

Minnesota Vikings player props: Justin Jefferson over 1,350.5 receiving yards (-110 or better)

Not only did Jefferson lead the league in receiving yards last season, but he did the same in receptions as well en route to being named offensive player of the year in 2022.

Jefferson racked up 1,809 receiving yards in 2022 and was on pace to break Calvin Johnson’s single season record for most of the year.

Setting the bar this low on his total for the year seems borderline disrespectful, especially with the loss of Cook likely to push Minnesota into throwing the ball a bit more.

Sure, Addison and Hockenson will get their looks too, but Cousins’ favorite target will remain Jefferson, who feels like he could go off for 300 yards in a game at any moment.

This over seems almost too good to be true, so snag it while you can before the line moves.

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Coby Green is a managing editor for Catena Media based out of New York. Since graduating from Rutgers University with a degree in journalism and media in 2019, he has worked as an editorial producer for SNY and an associate SEO editor for The Action Network. His go to sports for both watching and betting include the NFL, NBA, MLB and UFC.