2023 MLB playoffs: Phillies vs. Marlins odds, line, Wild Card Series Game 2 picks, predictions by proven model
The 2023 MLB Playoffs continue on Wednesday with four Game 2 matchups. The finale of the day takes place at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. The Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies, one day after the Phillies opened the best-of-three series with a 4-1 win. Braxton Garrett (9-7, 3.66 ERA) is the projected starting pitcher for Miami, and he will face Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.46) for Philadelphia.
SportsLine consensus lists Philadelphia as -154 money line favorites (risk $154 to win $100) in the latest Marlins vs. Phillies odds, and first pitch is scheduled for 8:08 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 8. Before making any Phillies vs. Marlins picks, be sure to .
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 MLB playoffs 91-73 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Marlins vs. Phillies and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Phillies vs. Marlins:
- Phillies vs. Marlins money line: Phillies -154, Marlins +131
- Phillies vs. Marlins over/under: 8 runs
- Phillies vs. Marlins run line: Phillies -1.5 (+142)
- MIA: The Marlins were 33-14 in regular season one-run games
- PHI: The Phillies were 49-32 in regular season home games
- Phillies vs. Marlins picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Marlins
Miami can be confident with Garrett on the mound in Game 2. Garrett posted a 3.66 ERA in 159.2 innings this season, and he finished the season strong with a 2.56 ERA across his final 11 starts. Garrett has excellent command, issuing only 1.63 walks per nine innings, and he was effective on the road with a 2.85 ERA away from Miami. He will face a Philadelphia offense that is below-average in walks (539) this season, and the Phillies had the fourth-most strikeouts (1481) in the National League.
On offense, Miami features 2023 NL batting champion Luis Arraez, who had the highest single-season batting average (.354) for a player since 2010. He also won the 2022 AL batting title with Minnesota, and Miami had success against Philadelphia starter Aaron Nola this season. Nola had a 6.75 ERA in three starts against the Marlins, giving up 24 hits and only 16 innings of work. He also has a career 4.91 ERA in the postseason, well above his regular season baseline. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Phillies
Philly's offense greatly outpaced Miami's offense this season. The Phillies ranked in the top three of the National League in home runs (220), stolen bases (141), slugging percentage (.438) and OPS (.765). Philadelphia was also in the top five in runs scored (796), hits (1417), doubles (291), and batting average (.256), with a couple of high-profile mashers in the lineup.
Two-time MVP Bryce Harper was electric at home during the regular season, posting a 1.081 OPS with 15 home runs, and Harper also led MLB in batting average and home runs during the 2022 playoffs. Kyle Schwarber finished No. 2 in the NL with 47 home runs, and only Aaron Judge has more home runs than Schwarber (93) since the start of the 2022 season. The Phillies also produced 12 hits and six runs in 10 innings against Garrett this season, and Philadelphia is facing a Miami offense that ranked No. 10 or worse among NL clubs in runs scored, stolen bases, walks, home runs, and OPS this season. See which team to back here.
How to make Marlins vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.7 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
