2023 MLB playoffs: Phillies vs. Diamondbacks odds, time, line, NLCS Game 7 picks, predictions by proven model
Teams looking to reach the World Series meet when the Arizona Diamondbacks face the Philadelphia Phillies in a decisive 2023 National League Championship Series Game 7 on Tuesday. Arizona evened the series at 3-3 with a 5-1 victory on Monday. The Diamondbacks (84-78), who already have eliminated division champions in the Milwaukee Brewers (Central) and Los Angeles Dodgers (West), are looking to reach their first World Series since winning it all in 2001. The Phillies (90-72), who defeated the Miami Marlins and NL East champion Atlanta Braves, are looking to play in their second consecutive World Series. They last won it in 2008.
First pitch is set for 8:07 p.m. ET from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Arizona leads the all-time series is tied 88-86, while Philadelphia has a 48-40 edge in games played at home. Philadelphia is the -173 favorite on the money line (risk $173 to win $100) in the latest Diamondbacks vs. Phillies odds via SportsLine consensus, while the total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 8.5. Before locking in any Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the NLCS and ALCS of the 2023 MLB playoffs 93-74 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Phillies:
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks money line: Arizona +146, Philadelphia -173
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks over/under: 8.5 runs
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+120)
- AZ: The Diamondbacks are 47-42 on the road this season, including the postseason
- PHI: The Phillies are 55-34 on their home field in 2023
- Phillies vs. Diamondbacks picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Phillies
Philadelphia is expected to send left-hander Ranger Suarez (1-0, 0.64 ERA in 2023 MLB playoffs) to the mound. He has been sharp during the postseason, allowing just one earned run in 14 innings of work. In his last outing, he did not allow a run and just three hits in 5 1/3 innings on Oct. 19, a game Arizona rallied to win 2-1. He has just one walk and seven strikeouts in the playoffs. In his Oct. 12 NLDS matchup against Atlanta, he pitched five innings, allowing just one earned run on three hits and striking out two in a 3-1 victory. In the 3-0 win on Oct. 7 at Atlanta, he pitched 3 2/3 innings, allowing no runs, one hit and one walk, while striking out four.
Offensively, first baseman Bryce Harper has had a solid postseason. In 12 games, he is 12-for-38 (.316) with five homers and eight RBI in the series, and has hits in nine games, including four with multiple hits. In Game 5 of the series, Harper was 2-for-4 with three runs scored with a homer and one stolen base. He homered twice and drove in four runs in the 10-2 NLDS Game 3 win over the Braves. For the season, Harper played in 126 games with 29 doubles, one triple, 21 homers, 72 RBI and 84 runs scored. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt (0-0, 2.13 ERA postseason) is expected to get the start for Arizona. After a somewhat disappointing regular season, which saw him go 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA in 19 games, including 18 starts, he closed the regular season on a high note. He won two of his last three decisions, including a 3-0 win over the Chicago White Sox on Sept. 27. He then struggled in an Oct. 3 Wild Card game, going 2 2/3 innings in a 6-3 win over Milwaukee, allowing seven hits and three earned runs. He has been lights out since. He allowed just two hits and struck out two in a 4-2 NLDS win over the Dodgers on Oct. 11, pitching 4 1/3 innings. In a 2-1 win over the Phillies on Thursday, he allowed two hits in 5 2/3 innings, walking none and striking out nine.
Right fielder Corbin Carroll has been a bright spot on offense for the Diamondbacks, hitting .250 in 11 postseason games. He has hits in seven of those games, including multiple hits in three. Carroll has blasted a pair of home runs, including one in a 2-for-5 performance in an 11-2 win over the Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS. During the regular season, he played in 155 games, batting .285 with 30 doubles, 10 triples, 25 homers, 76 RBI and 116 runs scored. See which team to back here.
How to make Diamondbacks vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 9.1 combined runs. It also says one side on the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
