2023 NHL Playoffs: Golden Knights vs. Stars Prediction

The Dallas Stars schedule could expand by one more game if the Stars can win game six, nullifying the Vegas Golden Knights standings and Western Conference Finals lead and forcing an improbable game seven.

As for Vegas, they’d like to secure a date with the Florida Panthers tonight rather than be forced to go all in a winner-take-all game seven that seemed an improbable addition to the NHL schedule when VGK had a 3-0 Series lead.

We’ll dig into the stats, trends, and odds before making our Golden Knights vs Stars prediction for game six of the Western Conference Finals.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Location of the game: America Airlines Center. Dallas, TX.

Date & Time: Monday, May 29. 8:00 PM ET.

The Dallas Stars have won the last two games to force game six, winning game five 4-2. The Vegas Golden Knights hold a 3-2 lead in the Western Conference Finals.

The Dallas Stars have the special teams advantage in NHL team stats, with the powerplay converting at 32.0%, while the penalty kill is operating at 83.0%. The Vegas Golden Knights’ powerplay is converting at 17.6%, while the penalty kill is operating at 61.4%.

The Golden Knights have the five-on-five statistical advantage averaging 3.50 gpg while giving up 2.81 gpg. The Stars are averaging 3.28 gpg while giving up 3.06 gpg in the playoffs.

Dallas’ Roope Hintz leads both rosters in NHL player stats with 24 points (10 goals, 14 assists). Jack Eichel leads VGK in scoring with 18 points (six goals, 12 assists).

The goaltending matchup should remain the same as the first five games of the series. The Stars will start number one goalie Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%), who has a 10-8-0 record, a 2.89 GAA, and a .901 SV% in the playoffs.

The Golden Knights will likely counter with Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%), who has a 6-3-0 record, a 2.30 GAA, and a .932 SV% since taking over for Laurent Broissoit (5-2-0 record, 3.18 GAA, .894 SV% in the playoffs).

Before we make our Golden Knights vs Stars prediction, we must quickly review the NHL odds, betting records, and trends.

The Vegas Golden Knights (-1.5) are the road underdog for game six, listed between +102 and +110. VGK has a 52-46 ATS record.

The total goals line is set at 5.5 for the seventh game of the eight head-to-head matchups this season. The over is listed between -106 and -118. Vegas has a 45-48-5 over/under record this season. 

The under is 3-2 in the Western Conference Finals and 6-2 across the season series. Three of the eight games this season have been decided by at least a 1.5-goal spread. Vegas has a 2-5 record in the last seven games in Dallas.

After winning the last two games, the Dallas Stars (+1.5) are the home betting favorite, listed between -122 and -134. Dallas has a 53-47 ats record.

The under for game six is listed between -105 and -114. The Stars have a 44-51-5 over/under record.

The under is 8-0 in the previous eight matchups in Dallas. The favorite and home team are 4-1 in the last five games. Dallas holds a 5-3 lead in the head-to-head season series. 

Pick 1: Our first Golden Knights vs Stars prediction is to take the Dallas Stars to win game six and shift the pressure to the Golden Knights in an improbable game seven. 

Pick 2: The second of our NHL predictions is to

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