Golden Knights vs Stars Game 3 Odds, Prediction & Props to Target (May 23)

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Golden Knights vs Stars Game 3 Odds, Prediction & Props to Target (May 23)

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— Hockey Reference (@hockey_ref) May 22, 2023

After operating at a ghastly 60.0% clip on the penalty kill through two rounds, Vegas has clamped down on the PK, killing four of five chances in this series.

The Golden Knights have won five of six on the road and 14 of 17 when their opponent scores two or fewer goals in their previous game.

Dallas Stars Betting Analysis

If Dallas had held onto their 2-1 lead late in Game 2, there wouldn’t have been a ton to dissect about what has gone wrong in Big D. Through two frames in that contest, they limited Vegas to just ten shots on goal and 25 total shot attempts. In nine of 15 playoff games, goaltender Jake Oettinger has surrendered three or more goals, including both in this series.

That above stat went to 23 wins and five losses following a loss on the campaign. Dallas hasn’t dropped three straight since mid-February, and they’ve won five of their last six home affairs. However, Dallas is 1-6 in their last seven versus a team with a winning % above .600.

Vegas vs Dallas Recent Results

Dallas won all three meetings in the regular season but has dropped both matchups in the Western Conference Finals.

Golden Knights vs Stars Pick & Prediction

Bettors believe that Dallas will climb back into the series, with a whopping 83% of moneyline bets placed on them thus far. That’s an implied win probability of 56.2%. Our model has this Golden Knights vs Stars game going Dallas’ way, 3.41-3.17.

When it comes to Golden Knights vs Stars props, selecting Roope Hintz at +155 to score is a solid wager. He has the most goals left of anyone competing in the postseason (10) and has found the back of the net in four of his last six outings.

Seven of the last nine duels between these two teams have resulted in a game going past regulation. Ten of eleven have been one-goal battles, so selecting either club on the puck line is dicey. The under is 7-1-2 in the Stars’ last 10 Conference Finals games. For Vegas, the under is 7-1-1 in their nine Conference Finals tangos. With it being such a close battle, expect the Stars to make this a tight series with a Game 3 victory.

Pick: Dallas Stars Moneyline (-150)