2023 NHL Playoffs: Vegas Golden Knights vs. Dallas Stars Odds, Picks, and Prediction

After a 4-0 win in game three, the Vegas Golden Knights are one win away from making their second Stanley Cup Finals in franchise history. Game four on home ice is clearly a must-win for the Dallas Stars, whose goaltending and scoring have fallen short of expectations and capability in the Western Conference Finals.

It’s win or get swept and go home in game four of the Western Conference Finals. We’ll review the stats, trends, and Golden Knights vs Stars odds before making our NHL predictions for game four of the Western Conference Finals.

We need to review the Golden Knights vs Stars odds, betting records, and trends before we preview one of the final Dallas Stars games of the season.

Moneyline: Despite being down 0-3 in the Western Conference Finals, the Dallas Stars are the slight home favorite on the moneyline, listed between -115 and -120. The Vegas Golden Knights are listed between +105 and -105.

Over/Under Total: The total goals line is set to 5.5. The over is listed between -103 and -110, while the under is listed between -110 and -118.

Vegas (+1.5) has a 51-45 ats record, while Dallas (-1.5) has a 52-46 ats record. VGK has a 44-47-5 over/under record, while the Stars have a 43-50-5 over/under record. The under is 5-1 this season. The under is 7-0 in the previous seven games in Dallas.

The head-to-head series is tied 3-3, with Dallas winning the three regular-season matchups and VGK winning the three playoff meetings. The Golden Knights are 7-0 in their last seven games against the Central Division while going 6-1 in their previous seven road games.

Four of the six head-to-head matchups between the Stars and Golden Knights were decided in overtime.

Vegas Golden Knights vs Dallas Stars

Location of the game: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX.

Date & Time: Thursday, May 25. 8:00 PM ET.

Golden Knights have the advantage in five-on-fiveNHL team stats, averaging 3.71 gpg while giving up 2.71 gpg. VGK’s powerplay is converting at 18.4%, while the penalty kill is operating at 64.3% in the playoffs.

Jack Eichel leads VGK in playoff scoring with 16 points (six goals, ten assists). The Vegas Golden Knights roster goaltending depth has been tested and on display all season long. We expect Adin Hill (16-7-1, 2.50 GAA, .915 SV%) to return to the net in game four for Vegas. He has a 6-1-0 record, a 1.96 GAA, and a .940 SV% in the playoffs.

Dallas is averaging 3.25 gpg while giving up 3.19 gpg in the playoffs. The Stars have the special teams’ statistical advantage. With the powerplay converting at 29.2% and the penalty kill operating at 82.% efficiency.

Roope Hintz leads all players in this series in NHL player stats with 22 points (ten goals, 12 assists).

The Dallas Stars Stanley Cup Odds have faded since the start of the Western Conference, and goaltender Jake Oettinger (37-11-11, 2.37 GAA, .919 SV%) has been a significant factor. Despite being pulled early in game three, we expect Oettinger to start for Dallas with an 8-8-0 record, a 3.02 GAA, and a .895 SV% in the postseason.

Pick 1: After reviewing the Golden Knights vs Stars odds, we’re anticipating a break in the NHL schedule for playoffs as we’re taking the Vegas Golden Knights on the moneyline to win game four. While the first two head-to-head playoff matchups went to overtime, we didn’t like what we saw from Dallas in game three, especially early in the first period. 

Pick 2: Our second pick is to follow the trends, taking the under of 5.5 total goals.

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