2023 Sprint Cup Trends: Stats To Find Saturday's Haydock Winner

Sports Lens

04 September 2023

2023 Sprint Cup Trends: Stats To Find Saturday's Haydock Winner

See below our 2023 Sprint Cup trends ahead of this Saturday’s big Group One race – a contest that 81% of the last 21 winners were aged 5 or younger, while 76% hailed from stall 5 or higher.

Best Horse Racing Offers for Haydock Sprint Cup

Sprint Cup Trends: Key Stats To Help Find Haydock Winner

The UK horse racing action ramps back up several notches this weekend as the Group One Sprint Cup at Haydock takes centre stage.

With £226,000 up for grabs to the winner then we can expect another decent field heading to post at 3:35pm on Saturday.

One of those big names is the improving SHAQUILLE, who has been put in by the best UK horse racing betting sites as the red-hot favourite. This Julie Camacho-trained 3 year-old has won 7 of his 8 career starts to date and has impressed this term with wins in the Commonwealth Cup and July Cup.

Those successes have also been made to look even better as he’s got a reputation of starting off slowly – something he did in both those races – but has still had enough to win by 1 1/4 and 1 1/2 lengths.

He’ll be looking to become the sixth winning 3 year-old in the race since 2014 and the first in the race for this trainer.

See below the key Haydock Sprint Cup trends that you can use to find the best profiles based on past winners of the race.

When Is The 2023 Haydock Sprint Cup?

��Time: 3:35pm
��Date: Saturday 9th Sept 2023
��Racecourse: Haydock
��: Winner: £226,840
�� TV: Racing TV / ITV4

Sprint Cup Trends (The Last 21 Runnings)

19/21 – Unplaced horses from stall 1
18/21 – Rated 111 or higher
18/21 – Had won over 6f before
17/21 – Aged 5 or younger
17/21 – Finished in the top 4 last time out
16/21 – Had 4 or more career wins to their name
16/21 – Didn’t win their previous race
16/21 – Drawn in stall 5 or higher
15/21 – Had won a Group race before
14/21 – Winning distance 1 length or less
14/21 –Had 4 or more runs that season
11/21 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (6) last time out
10/21 – Had run at Haydock before (4 had won)
10/21 – Returned a double-figure price in the betting
11/21 – Ran at Deauville (4) or York (6) last time out
8/21 – Drawn in a double-figure stall
7/21 – Had won a Group 1 before
7/21 – Winning favourites
2/21 – Trained by Henry Candy
2/21 – Ridden by Oisin Murphy
50% of the last 12 winners aged 3 years-old
7 of the last 8 winners came between stalls 4-8
The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 17/2

Look For Horses Aged 5 Or Younger

Yes, we’ve seen two winning 6 year-olds in the last five renewals, but going back over the last 21 runnings we’ve had 81% (17 of last 21) winners aged 5 or younger.

It’s also been a good race for the 3 year-olds in recent times, with 50% winning the Sprint Cup since 2011.

Horses From Stall 1 Have Struggled

We’ll know the Sprint Cup draw on Thursday, but when we do you might want to avoid stall 1.

This is because a massive 91% of the last 21 runners from the one berth have not even been placed.

Note Horses From Stalls 5 Or Higher

horses drawn 5 or higher have the best recent record.

While it’s those drawn between stalls 4-8 (inc) that must be respected – winning a massive 88% of the last 8 renewals.

Respect A Recent Run at York of Deauville

Last year’s winner Minzaal ran Maurice de Gheest at Deauville (2nd) before taking the Haydock Sprint Cup, while the 2021 winner Emaraaty Ana ran at York in the Nunthorpe Stakes.

It’s been these two venues that have been the route for a lot of Sprint Cup winners of late – with 11 of the last 21 winners running at either York or Deauville prior to taking this.

A Top Four Finish Last Time Out Has Helped

A recent ‘good run’ is another thing to look for with 17 of the last 21 winners (81%) placed fourth or better last time out.

The big two in the market – Shaquille and Kinross – both fit the bill here having won at Newmarket and York in their most recent race, but Azure Blue, Sacred and Regional would all fall down.

Don’t Worry If Your Fancy DIDN’T Win It’s Last Race

Having said that, don’t be too concerned if your fancy failed to win their last race – as a massive 16 of the last 21 (76%) didn’t either.

This would actually be a slight negative for the fancied pair of Shaquille and Kinross, who both – as mentioned – won last time out.

Kinross is also likely to be ridden by Frankie Dettori.

The Cream Often Rises To The Top

Being a top Group One sprint, then the Sprint Cup is a race that also often sees the cream rise to the top.

We’ve seen horses rated 111 or higher land this big Haydock race in 18 of the last 21 years (86%), which would be another minus for Skycatcher and Regional, who are both rated just 109.

The Sprint Cup Favourites Have A Good Record

Shaquille will be the hot 2023 Haydock Sprint Cup favourite and the great news for his backers is that his race has been a kind one for those at the head of the betting.

Over the last 21 years we’ve seen seven winning favourites take the prize, which work out at a decent 33% strike-rate.

Be Sweet On Trainer Henry Candy

There is no real dominate trainer in the last 20 years. Yes, Kevin Ryan has won two of the last four, but he’s not got a runner this time.

We’ve also seen the Henry Candy yard to well – with two wins since 2010 – and the veteran handler has a live outsider this year in Run To Freedom.