2024 PGA Picks: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Odds and Expert Betting Predictions
Will we see a return to normalcy at Pebble Beach this weekend? This has been the least predictable start to a PGA Tour season in recent memory as it continues its California Swing. Chris Kirk, Grayson Murray, amateur Nick Dunlap, and Matthieu Pacon took down the first four tournaments of the season, each at 150-1 odds or worse. Now we head to Pebble Beach, where 18 of the top 20 golfers in the world will be teeing off in expected windy, chilly, and rainy conditions. The event has also changed from a three-course rotation to just two venues, with Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill simultaneously hosting the first two rounds, while the weekend will be played on Pebble Beach. Doc’s Sports will break down some of the best projections below.
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A Look at the Field
Here is a look at the Top 12 and ties with the lowest golf odds to win it all at online sportsbooks
Scottie Scheffler +800 – Rory Mcllroy +800 – Xander Schauffele +1200 – Viktor Hovland +1200
Max Homa +1600 – Patrick Cantlay +1800 – Jordan Spieth +1800 – Collin Morikawa +2000
Justin Thomas +2200 – Ludvig Aberg +2500 – Tommy Fleetwood +3000 – Matt Fitzpatrick +3000
Course Characteristics of Those Who Can Win or Secure Winning Golf Bets
It is the third week in a row that players will be navigating a multi-course rotation. Three of the four rounds will be played at Pebble Beach Golf Links. This course features some of the smallest greens players will see on tour all season long, and approach shots will be key to succeeding. Due to hole angles, Pebble Beach has one of the shortest average driving distances, forcing many players to lay up and removing any advantage for long hitters. Spyglass Hill poses even more of a challenge, with five holes exposed to the coast, and most holes are tree-lined. It is slightly longer than Pebble Beach but boasts four par 4s that are under 400 yards where players will need to capitalize.
Jordan Spieth +1800
Spieth will be a popular choice this week as this course is perfect for his creativity. He also has endured adventures and success at Pebble Beach over the years. He won this event back in 2017, has five top-10 finishes in 10 other starts and who can forget his death-defying second shot at the eighth hole two years ago. Spieth makes it a priority to play this event on a yearly basis where most of the superstars on the tour usually take this one off. He should have an edge. His only start of the season was a solo third-place finish at The Sentry. Spieth will be prepared for the elements and ready to contend this weekend.
Jason Day +4500
Day loves Pebble Beach, and the proof lies with his seven top-seven finishes throughout his career at this course. Add in additional two top-15s and he has only missed the cut here once since his debut. It is clear this is a place he loves to tee up at. He missed the cut last week at Torrey Pines, which resulted in his odds going down. That should be an overreaction from bookmakers. However, if he is out of form, I am willing to take a chance and find out.
Hideki Matsuyama +6500
Matsuyama is in great form after a top-five tee-to-green showing at The Farmers Insurance Open and he excels with mid-irons. He is elite from short yardage, ranking top-10 in Prox: 75-100 and Prox: 100-125. Matsuyama is also top-seven in both SG:ARG and SG:APP. With Pebble Beach featuring smaller greens, there is a heightened importance of Approach and Around-The-Green. His most recent victory on the PGA Tour came at the Sony Open, which compares well to Pebble Beach. I am willing to take a shot on Matsuyama at 65-1 odds.
