2024 WM Phoenix Open odds, picks, predictions, field: Expert fading Scottie Scheffler at TPC Scottsdale

Less than a week after the PGA Tour had to reduce the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am to 54 holes due to dangerous weather conditions, the PGA Tour is not expected to face near the same weather issues for the 2024 WM Phoenix Open beginning on Thursday at TPC Scottsdale in Scottsdale, Ariz. Though the forecast for Thursday's first round calls for a 40% chance of rain, the possibility for precipitation is expected to decrease as the tournament progresses. Temperatures are forecasted to reach 60 degrees for Sunday's final round. 

World No. 1 and two-time defending champion Scottie Scheffler is the 9-2 favorite in the latest 2024 WM Phoenix Open odds. Justin Thomas (10-1), Max Homa (14-1), Jordan Spieth (18-1), and Sam Burns (20-1) round out the top five choices in the WM Phoenix Open field. Before locking in any 2024 WM Phoenix Open picks, make sure you see the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf betting and fantasy expert Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright and first-round leader markets and in betting head-to-head matchups. He also has been on fire with his head-to-head matchups since last year's Charles Schwab Challenge, going 29-16-1 and returning 10.25 units over that span. That's a $1,025 profit for $100 bettors since May 2023.

Nejad also nailed 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark as the outright winner at the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners.

Now, Nejad has focused his attention on the 2024 WM Phoenix Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. See who they are at SportsLine.

Top 2024 WM Phoenix Open expert picks

One surprise: Nejad is completely fading Scheffler, even though he is the two-time defending champion and the odds-on favorite. Scheffler's putting woes have been well documented. He ranked 162nd on the PGA Tour last season in strokes gained: putting, which prompted him to seek the help of renowned putting coach Phil Kenyon last year. While Scheffler has since won the Hero World Challenge, an unofficial PGA Tour event, he still ranks 117th in putting.

Last week at Pebble Beach, he continued to struggle with the putter. He ranked 47th in the 80-player field in strokes gained: putting (-0.286). "He's absolutely fantastic and the clear No. 1 player in this field, but this number [+450] is too short," Nejad told SportsLine.

However, Nejad is bullish on Sahith Theegala, who is listed at 35-1. Ranked No. 22 in the world, Theegala earned his only career PGA Tour victory when winning the Fortinet Championship in September. He has two more top-10 finishes in seven starts since then. 

Nejad likes that Theegala has improved off-the-tee. He ranked 134th in strokes gained: off-the-tee (-0.139) last season. This season, he ranks 50th (0.308). "His recent history and metrics are solid, and while he can be a little too inaccurate with the driver, his ball-striking and greens in regulation stats have been very good," Nejad said. See whom else to back at SportsLine.

How to make 2024 WM Phoenix Open picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2024 WM Phoenix Open and is backing several longshots, including one that is priced at more than 70-1. This player is "trending well with the putter" and is a longshot who could surprise. You can see Nejad's PGA Tour picks only at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2024 WM Phoenix Open, and which player in theWM Phoenix Open 2024 field could bring a huge payday at more than 70-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top picks for the 2024 WM Phoenix Open, all from the expert who is 29-16-1 on his last 46 head-to-head picks.

2024 WM Phoenix Open odds, field

Scottie Scheffler +450Justin Thomas +1000Max Homa +1600Sam Burns +1800Jordan Spieth +1800Min Woo Lee +2500Byeong Hun An +2500Matt Fitzpatrick +2800J.T. Poston +2800Wyndham Clark +3000Sungjae Im +3000Tom Kim +3500Sahith Theegala +3500Cameron Young +3500Eric Cole +4000Adam Hadwin +4000Si Woo Kim +4500Hideki Matsuyama +4500Corey Conners +4500Beau Hossler +4500Adam Scott +4500Rickie Fowler +5000Brian Harman +5500Thomas Detry +6000Alex Noren +6000Akshay Bhatia +6000Emiliano Grillo +6500Kurt Kitayama +7000Kevin Yu +7000Shane Lowry +7500Keith Mitchell +7500Denny McCarthy +7500Mark Hubbard +8000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +8000Andrew Putnam +8000Tom Hoge +9000Erik Van Rooyen +9000Adam Schenk +9000Luke List +10000Harris English +10000Taylor Montgomery +11000Michael Kim +11000Lucas Glover +11000Brendon Todd +11000Billy Horschel +11000Adam Svensson +11000Aaron Rai +11000Ryan Fox +13000Matt Kuchar +13000Daniel Berger +13000Austin Eckroat +13000Victor Perez +13000Taylor Moore +15000Nick Taylor +15000Nate Lashley +15000K.H. Lee +15000Jake Knapp +15000J.J. Spaun +15000Gary Woodland +15000Doug Ghim +15000Davis Thompson +15000Chesson Hadley +15000Patton Kizzire +15000Vincent Norrman +18000Sam Ryder +18000Matt Wallace +18000Ben Griffin +18000Scott Stallings +20000Nick Hardy +20000Justin Suh +20000Brandon Wu +20000Vince Whaley +25000Tyler Duncan +25000Seamus Power +25000Sam Stevens +25000S.H. Kim +25000Maverick McNealy +25000Matti Schmid +25000Lee Hodges +25000Joseph Bramlett +25000Grayson Murray +25000Chris Gotterup +25000Cameron Champ +25000Ben Kohles +25000Alexander Bjork +25000Will Gordon +30000Robby Shelton +30000Matt NeSmith +30000Justin Lower +30000Jhonattan Vegas +30000Greyson Sigg +30000Garrick Higgo +30000Dylan Wu +30000Charley Hoffman +30000Carson Young +30000Carl Yuan +30000Camilo Villegas +30000Ben Martin +30000Sami Valimaki +30000Troy Merritt +35000Stewart Cink +35000Ryan Moore +35000Lanto Griffin +35000Joel Dahmen +35000Callum Tarren +35000C.T. Pan +35000Adrien Dumont De Chassart +35000Aaron Baddeley +35000Zach Johnson +40000Zac Blair +40000Kevin Streelman +40000Harry Hall +40000David Lipsky +40000Chez Reavie +40000Chad Ramey +40000Bud Cauley +40000Peter Malnati +50000Nico Echavarria +50000Martin Laird +50000Jim Knous +50000Hayden Buckley +60000Andrew Novak +60000Kevin Chappell +60000Luke Donald +80000Brandt Snedeker +100000Nicolo Galletti +100000Tyson Alexander +150000Ben Taylor +150000Ryan Brehm +200000J.B. Holmes +250000Kevin Stadler +500000