Air Force vs. Nevada odds, prediction, spread: 2022 Week 4 college football picks by model on 51-43 run

Nevada Wolf Pack and Air Force Falcons play each other in a Mountain West game on Friday. Nevada lost to Iowa 27-0 last week, while Air force was upset by Wyoming 17-14. SportsLine's computer model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times and has returned a profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated collegefootball picks against the spread since 2021.

Nevada vs. Air Force is a college football game. Nevada is 5-0 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Falcons are 6-1 AET in the last seven games overall.

Nevada vs. Air Force is a college football game. The money line is Falcons -4000, Wolf Pack +1450. Nevada is 5-0 ATS in their last five games on grass.

Air Force is a team that can cover against Nevada. Haaziq Daniels is an athletic and versatile quarterback. John Lee Eldridge II is also a running back. Eldridh has 29 carries for 277 yards with 9.6 yards per carry.

Nevada's defense is ranked sixth in the Mountain West in total yards allowed (384.5) and rushing yards per game (111. 5). Senior defensive back Tyson Williams is always around the ball and leads the team in tackles (26).

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the point total. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations.