Angels vs Mets Prediction

pickdawgz.com

27 August 2023

The Los Angeles Angels will play the New York Mets in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citi Field in Queens, New York. The Angels have won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-1 and 5-3. New York continues their poor season and they are last in the NL East.

Angels Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 63-67 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Prior to winning the first two games in this series, Los Angeles was swept by the Reds at home. The Angels have really struggled since the trade deadline and they are out of the postseason race. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this year. The Angels offense has scored 615 runs with a .249 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Shohei Ohtani is batting .307 with 44 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Angels. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Griffin Canning, who is 7-4 with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 91.2 innings pitched this season.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 59-71 this season and they have lost four games in a row. New York found some success about a week ago, but that was short-lived as they have lost four of their last five games to the Angels and Braves. The Mets continue to hit the ball inconsistently, scoring three runs or fewer in four straight games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 569 runs with a .237 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .220 with 39 home runs and 95 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 3-7 with a 5.59 ERA and a 1.67 WHIP over 77.1 innings pitched this year.

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New York Mets Team Facts

The Mets have lost each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five Sunday day games against American League opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six games against American League opponents that held a losing record.

Los Angeles Angels Team Facts

The road team has won each of the Angels' last six games.
The road team has covered the run line in each of the Angels' last six games.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Angels' last three day games against NL East opponents.
The Angels have led after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Angels have led after 7 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Angels.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets' last four games as favorites.
Francisco Lindor has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Angels.
Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Angels.
Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against the Angels.
Pete Alonso ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.521) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

Brandon Drury has hit a home run in two of the Angels' last three games as underdogs.
Brandon Drury has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
Shohei Ohtani has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Angels' last four games against NL opponents.
Shohei Ohtani has scored at least one run in each of the Angels' last nine Sunday day games.
Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Angels' last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Shohei Ohtani ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.672) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (484).
The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for batting average this season (.237).
The Los Angeles Angels ranks 27th in the league for steals this season (63).
The Los Angeles Angels ranks 6th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.434).

Pick

The Angels come into this game looking for the series sweep, despite dealing with a number of injuries. On the other side, the Mets are 12 games under .500 and are just trying to get to the end of the season. Los Angeles is starting Griffin Canning, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. New York is starting David Peterson, who has allowed seven earned runs in his last three starts (12 IP). Both pitchers have had issues this season, but Canning has been decent in his last few starts. I am going to continue to fade the Mets and take the Angels to get the win.