Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago White Sox odds, picks and predictions
The Arizona Diamondbacks (83-74) and Chicago White Sox (60-97) meet Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game set. First pitch from Guaranteed Rate Field is at 2:10 p.m. ET (MLB Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Diamondbacks vs. White Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: Diamondbacks lead 1-0
Arizona has won 7 of its last 9 games and currently has the inside track on an NL Wild Card spot in a tightly contested race. The Diamondbacks took the series opener 15-4 Tuesday and are in the 2nd NL Wild Card spot, a game up on the Chicago Cubs.
The White Sox had won 2 in a row prior to Tuesday’s loss, but they’ve really struggled for the most part, going 8-18 record over their past 26 games. Chicago is in a position to possibly lose 100 games with 5 games remaining.
Diamondbacks at White Sox projected starters
RHP Brandon Pfaadt vs. RHP Luis Patiño
Pfaadt (2-9, 6.08 ERA) makes his 18th start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.44 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 90 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Loss, 4 1/3 IP, 6 R (5 ER), 8 H, 0 BB, 8 K in 7-1 road loss vs. New York Yankees Friday
- 2023 road stats: 0-4, 5.68 ERA (44 1/3 IP, 28 ER) with 8.1 K/9 and 15 HR allowed (3.0 HR/9) over 7 starts and 1 relief appearance
Patiño (0-0, 4.24 ERA) makes his 1st start of the season after appearing in 13 innings over 7 relief appearances for the White Sox and Tampa Bay Rays.
- Acquired prior to the trade deadline, he was called up in early September and has allowed just 4 ER in 13 IP, albeit with a 10/10 K/BB
- Made 32 appearances (11 starts) and registered a 6.49 ERA with a 6.3 BB/9, 7.5 K/9, and 2.0 HR/9 at Triple-A in 2023
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Diamondbacks at White Sox odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:09 a.m. ET.
Diamondbacks at White Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Diamondbacks 7, White Sox 4
Patiño has had a rough season, both in the majors and at the Triple-A level. While the results have been respectable this month during his time with the White Sox, the skills have remained awful, with as many walks as strikeouts.
Pfaadt has shown much better skills than his counterpart, though the results to date have been underwhelming. He has had some home run issues and will be in a park that significantly boosts home runs. Arizona should win but rather than laying nearly 2:1 odds, we’ll find value elsewhere.
PASS.
The Arizona bats have been hot, as they have scored 6-plus runs in 7 of their last 9 games, racking up a total of 61 runs in that span (6.8 per game). On Wednesday, they’ll get a chance to feast on a pitcher who has really struggled throughout the season. Arizona should roll in this one, so take DIAMONDBACKS -1.5 (-120), or consider bumping it up to -2.5 (+135).
Patiño and the White Sox pen will have their hands full against a hot Arizona team that is in a battle for a playoff spot. The Diamondbacks look primed for another big day offensively.
Pfaadt has the potential to go out and dominate on any given day, but he has been inconsistent and homer-prone during his rookie season and has had a tough time on the road. The Sox should score a few runs against him and help push this total OVER 9.5 (+100).
