Arkansas vs Texas A&M Prediction: Against the Spread Best Bet, Week 4

This season I'll be breaking down college football's biggest games each week and giving out at least one bet I like from each matchup.

Arkansas vs Texas A&M is a close game. Arkansas has the better offense with a proven quarterback.

Arkansas runs a conservative offense, leaning heavily on the rushing attack and short passing game. Raheim Sanders has picked up 10 or more yards on 18% of his attempts. Texas A&M has allowed 11 carries of 10-plus yards through three games. K.J. Jefferson was blitzed more than any other quarterback in the SEC last year.

Texas A&M's passing rate has dropped to 44% this season. The team switched the quarterback from Haynes King to Max Johnson last week. Johnson is a game-manager and lacks mobility and the arm to challenge defenses downfield. Aggies' running backs have been stuffed for zero or negative yards on 30% of their carries this year. Arkansas's defense excels at limiting big plays on the ground.

Arkansas is favored against Texas A&M. Texas Aggies have scored just three offensive touchdowns in two games against FBS opponents.

Arkansas is 6-2 against the spread as an underdog under head coach Sam Pittman. Texas A&M lost three of four games when favored by a touchdown or less last season.

Texas A&M lost three of four games when favored by a touchdown or less last season. Arkansas is 6-2 against the spread as an underdog under head coach Sam Pittman.