Astros vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Houston Astros (37-29) and Washington Nationals (26-38) clash on Tuesday at 8:10 PM ET, opening a three-game series at Minute Maid Park.

The Astros are a home favorite (-262) versus the Nationals (+216). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of June 13, 2023 at 11:25 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Astros vs Nationals Betting Lines

Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Astros have been favored 46 times and won 25, or 54.3%, of those games.
• Houston has a record of 6-1 when favored by -262 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 72.4% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• Games involving Houston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 32 of 66 chances this season.
• In 66 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 33-33-0 ATS.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Nationals Betting Insights

• The Nationals have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (39.3%) in those contests.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 3-5 when favored by +216 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 31.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Washington’s games have gone over the total in 30 of its 64 opportunities.
• In 64 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 37-27-0 against the spread.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

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Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown

• When Brown starts, his team is 4-8-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays on Tuesday.
• Brown has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 12 chances. He averages 5.7 innings per outing.
• He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 12 chances this season.
• Brown’s team has been victorious in 55.6% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-4.
• In games Brown has started, his team is 7-5.
• In Brown’s 12 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over five times.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin

• Corbin (4-6) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his 14th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.89 ERA in 73 2/3 innings pitched, with 46 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, the left-hander tossed six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up three earned runs while surrendering 11 hits.
• Corbin will look to continue a 13-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per appearance).
• So far during the 2023 campaign he has allowed at least one earned run in all of his appearances.
• The Nationals are 6-6 in Corbin’s 12 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Corbin’s team is 7-6 in his 13 starts.
• Corbin’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 13 games with a set total this season.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Astros Hitting Trends

• The Astros are 12-5 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
• Houston has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 13 games this season, and has gone 10-3 in those outings.
• The team has totaled at least eight hits in 47 games this season, and is 37-10 in those contests.
• Houston is 35-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 19 games this season, and are 15-4 in those contests.

Nationals Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 13 games this season and are 8-5 in those matchups.
• Washington has won nine of its 10 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• They have a record of 23-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
• In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 18-8.
• In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9

Astros vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Astros (-262)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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