New York Yankees vs New York Mets Prediction 7-25-23 MLB Picks

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25 July 2023

The New York Mets and the New York Yankees meet Tuesday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. The Mets are fresh off a weekend series versus the Red Sox, losing two of the first three games in this minor road trip. As for the Yankees, they played the Royals over the weekend and finally built up some momentum with a three-game sweep. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

New York Mets

The Mets managed to eke out a win over the Red Sox Friday 5-4, but lost the weekend games 8-6 and 6-1. Brandon Nimmo was the only New York player with multiple hits (two) in the finale, and Francisco Lindor bagged the only RBI in a pretty flat offensive effort. The good news is that the bullpen didn’t allow a run.

For the starter job in the Tuesday game the Mets will send out Justin Verlander. In his 14 starts this year Verlander is 4-5 with a 3.47 ERA and 70 Ks in 83.0 innings. Verlander posted a win in his last start, going 8.0 innings with just one earned versus the White Sox.

New York Yankees

Over on the Yankees’ side, they bagged wins over the Royals 5-4, 5-2 and 8-5 in the weekend series for a much-needed sweep. Sunday’s win saw Anthony Rizzo go 4-for-4 with a homer, two RBI and three runs. Gleyber Torres bagged a two-run home run, and Giancarlo Stanton put up two hits with a run.

Domingo German will take the mound for the Yankees on Tuesday. Across his 18 starts this season German is 5-6 with a 4.52 ERA and 101 Ks in 97.2 innings. German gave up five earned in 6.0 innings during a road loss to the Angels back on July 18.

New York Yankees Team Facts

The home team has won each of the Yankees' last seven games.
The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
The Yankees have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Mets at Yankee Stadium.

New York Mets Team Facts

The Mets have lost each of their last eight night games following a road loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favourites against AL East opponents.
The Mets have lost the first inning in each of their last four games as road favourites against American League opponents.
The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last six games as road favourites against AL East opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four games as road favourites against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
DJ LeMahieu has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
Domingo German has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Yankees' last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Mets.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

Daniel Vogelbach has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two games as road favourites against AL East opponents.
Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous Tuesday appearances against AL East teams that held a winning record.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Justin Verlander has recorded eight or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances with his team as a road favourite against AL East opponents.
Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Mets' last five games as road favourites.
Pete Alonso ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (26) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The New York Yankees ranks 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (783).
The New York Yankees ranks 29th in the league for hits this season (758).
The New York Mets ranks 30th in the league for doubles this season (130).
The New York Mets ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts against this season (784).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK

I’ll try the Mets here. You could make a case either way, though. Verlander has been pitching well over his last trio, going 1-1 with six earned runs in 19.0 combined innings on 10 hits and 10 walks. German should be able to bounce back after his loss to the Angels last time up (6.0 innings; five earned). The key for the Mets here is going to be the bullpen, though. The Mets have given up four or more earned runs in five of their last six games, going 3-3 during that time. Provided they can tamp down the Yankees offense after Verlander exits, I think the Mets will be in line for a win.