Mexican Open: De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Best Bets and Prediction
Mexican Open defending champion Alex De Minaur faces a tough test in reaching the semi-finals as he takes on Stefanos Tsitsipas in the quarter-finals on Thursday. De Minaur, who beat Tommy Paul in last year’s final, is off to a strong start this season, while Tsitsipas has missed several tennis events this year and is playing in just his third tournament.
De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Picks
- Pick 1: De Minaur -115
- Pick 2: De Minaur 2-1 (+325)
Let’s take a look at the de Minaur vs Tsitsipas best bets, alongside our scores and odds analysis.
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Matchup Information
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
Location of the game: Acapulco Princess Mundo Imperial in Mexico
Date & Time: Thursday, February 29 at 7 p.m. ET
How to Watch: Tennis TV
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Recent Scores
De Minaur began his quest to repeat as champion in Mexico with a Round of 32 victory over Taro Daniel 6-2, 6-1. He followed that up with another dominant performance, beating Sebastian Ofner 6-1, 6-3. His tennis stats for the match included three aces, winning 90 percent of points on first serve, and going 5-of-12 in breakpoint opportunities.
Tsitsipas, meanwhile, comes into the De Minaur vs Tsitsipas best bets with wins over Roman Safiullin and Flavio Cobolli. He beat Safiullin 6-3, 6-4 and won in straight sets 6-3, 7-6 (6) over Cobolli. Stefanos had five aces in his Round of 16 match against Cobolli, won 88 percent of points on second serve, and was 2-of-9 in breakpoint opportunities. He won night points in a row at one point during the match.
Alex De Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Analysis
It’s hard to find a pair of players who have played as many matches against each other on the ATP Tour as De Minaur and Tsitsipas. Moreover, it’s hard to find a head-to-head matchup that has been as one-sided. Tsitsipas is 12-1 against De Minaur in 13 career matches, yet the tennis odds for the De Minaur vs Tsitsipas best bets is a pick-em, in large part due to how well the 25-year-old Australian has played to start this season.
Tsitsipas, who is 8-3 this season, has 11 consecutive wins over De Minaur dating back to 2017. Five of those wins have been on outdoor hard courts. De Minaur’s only victory against the 25-year-old Greek player came in a Challenger event back in 2017 on grass. Even worse, Tsitsipas has won all but three of those last 11 matches in straight sets. Tsitsipas last beat De Minaur playing in Mexico, specifically in Los Cabos final game in August 2023.
However, De Minaur is the defending champion in this tournament and entered play with the shortest odds in Mexican Open predictions. He has been on court less than Tsitsipas and is an impressive 12-4 in 16 matches this season, including 8-3 on hard courts. He was 26-12 on the surface last year, while Tsitsipas was 19-9. De Minaur reached the final of the ABN AMRO Open earlier this season.
Odds Breakdown for Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
De Minaur
De Minaur has -115 moneyline odds to win the match. Other tennis odds for the De Minaur vs Tsitsipas best bets include De Minaur to win the first set (-115), De Minaur to win in straight sets (+200), and De Minaur winning in three sets (+325) according to BetUS.
Tsitsipas
Tsitsipas has similar -115 odds to win the match, with other odds including a straight-set victory (+200) and a win in three sets (+325).
Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Betting Pick and Prediction
Yes, Tsitsipas has won 11 consecutive against De Minaur, but at some point it has to go the other way for the talented Australian, who is playing with renewed confidence this season. De Minaur three-set victory is a good bet.
- Pick 1: De Minaur -115
- Pick 2: De Minaur 2-1 (+325)
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