Mexican Open: Koepfer vs Rune Betting Analysis and Prediction
With three tennis events on the ATP Tour this week, there’s plenty of exciting action. The Mexican Open is one of those three events and has several quality players in the quarter-finals vying for the title, including defending champion Alex de Minaur and second seed Holger Rune. An up-and-coming player who has struggled to start the season, Rune takes on unseeded German Dominik Koepfer in the quarter-finals on Thursday.
Koepfer vs Rune Picks
- Pick: Rune in straight sets (-120)
Let’s take a look at both players’ scores and odds and the Koepfer vs Rune prediction.
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune Matchup Information
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune
Location of the game: Acapulco Princess Mundo Imperial in Mexico
Date & Time: Thursday, February 29 at 8:20 p.m. ET
How to Watch: Tennis TV
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune Recent Scores
Koepfer has won both of his matches ahead of the Koepfer vs Rune prediction in straight sets. He beat American Frances Tiafoe 6-4, 5-7, 6-1 in the Round of 16 on Wednesday night. His tennis stats for the match included 11 aces, winning 68 percent of points on second serve, and going 6-of-12 in breakpoint opportunities. He won 100 points compared to Tiafoe’s 80. Koepfer beat Terence Atmane in the first round.
Rune, the world No. 7, has looked solid in his first two matches after a relatively slow start to the 2024 season. He beat Michael Mmoh in the first round and followed that up with a 7-6 (5), 6-2 win over Aleksander Kovacevic. Rune had 11 aces in the match, won 74 percent of points on first serve, and was 2-of-7 in breakpoint opportunities.
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune Betting Analysis
Koepfer in Second QF This Season
A relatively unheralded 29-year-old veteran, Koepfer has had a decent start to the season, earning his second quarter-final appearance. He reached the same point in the Dallas Open before losing to eventual champion Tommy Paul. He lost to Nuno Borges in the first round of the Mifel Tennis Open before the Mexican Open.
Koepfer has never played Rune in his career. Before the Koepfer vs Rune prediction, he was 10-3 this season, including 7-2 on outdoor hard courts. He won 56 percent of points through two matches and has been on the court almost 1 hour and 30 minutes more than Rune.
Rune Looking to Get Back on Track
It hasn’t been a great start to the season for Rune. He is 10-4, but lost in the Round of 64 at the Australian Open and was out in the Round of 16 at the ABN AMRO Open. He reached the semi-final of the Open Sud de France but retired due to injury, drawing boos from the crowd.
Rune is 7-2 on hard courts this season and has historically struggled on the surface relative to others. He was just 10-10 on outdoor hard courts in 2023 and 8-9 in 2022.
Updates
Rune hasn’t had the results he expected to start the season and, in an effort to improve his tennis stats, reunited with former coach Patrick Mouratoglou. Boris Becker stepped down as the Dane’s coach two weeks ago.
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune Betting Preview
Koepfer is a +230 moneyline underdog with other tennis odds such as winning the first set (+180) and winning the match in three sets (+550). Rune is a -375 moneyline favorite in the Koepfer vs Rune prediction, with other Mexican Open odds including winning the first set (-260) and winning in straight sets (-120) at BetUS.
Dominik Koepfer vs Holger Rune Betting Prediction
Rune is playing with more purpose and a greater sense of confidence since going back to his old coach. He also has past success in this tournament, reaching the semi-final before losing to eventual champion De Minaur last year. He’s a favorite in tennis predictions and should get back to the semis with a win over Koepfer.
- Pick: Rune in straight sets (-120)
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