Baltimore Orioles vs Washington Nationals Prediction 9-27-23 MLB Picks

The Washington Nationals and the Baltimore Orioles meet Wednesday in MLB action from Oriole Park. This will be the final installment in a quick two-game series this week. In the Tuesday matchup, the Orioles eked out low-scoring victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place. 

Washington Nationals 

The Nationals took on the Braves over the weekend and had a pretty rough time, losing three of four games. In Sunday’s 8-5 defeat, Washington’s Lane Thomas and Luis Garcia (two RBI) each had a homer. On Tuesday versus Baltimore, Washington had just three hits in a tough 1-0 defeat. Keibert Ruiz (walk), Garcia (walk) and Joey Meneses each had one hit. 

For the starter job Wednesday, the Nationals’ Patrick Corbin will take the hill. This year in 31 starts, Corbin is 10-14 with a 5.13 ERA and 122 Ks in 175.1 innings. Corbin is 3-3 with a 6.16 ERA in his last seven starts. 

Washington Nationals Team Facts

The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games against teams that held a winning record.
The Nationals have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 road games against American League opponents following a loss.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last five games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 10 night games.
The Nationals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven night games against opponents that held a winning record.

Baltimore Orioles

Over on the Orioles’ side, they split a four-game series with the Guardians over the weekend. Baltimore got one RBI from five different players in Sunday’s 5-1 victory. In the Tuesday matchup, the Orioles got a great start from Kyle Bradish (8.0 innings; three hits; two walks; four Ks) and a solo homer from Gunnar Henderson (two hits) on the way to the win. 

It’ll be Grayson Rodriguez in the starting pitcher role for the Orioles on Wednesday. So far this year Rodriguez is 6-4 with a 4.49 ERA in 22 starts. Over his last seven starts, Rodriguez is 4-1 with a 2.13 ERA. 

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

The Orioles have won each of their last nine games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Orioles' last 10 games.
The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight games as home favorites.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five games between the Nationals and Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

The Baltimore Orioles rank 3rd in the league for doubles this season (303).
The Baltimore Orioles rank 6th in the league for RBI's this season (768).
The Washington Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (241).
The Washington Nationals rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (146).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll stick with the Orioles here. The line’s way too thick to mess with though, so taking a stab on the Nationals isn’t a bad idea either. In any case, Rodriguez is doing pretty well on the mound this month. In his last three starts he’s 1-1 with just four earned runs in a total of 17.1 innings on 17 hits and five walks. As for Corbin, he’s coming off five earned in 4.1 innings in a loss to Atlanta but he’d been pitching well before that. I like both starters to at least flirt with a quality outing in game two. In the Tuesday opener, Baltimore wasn’t very good offensively, but then again the bulk of the game was a great starter battle. The Orioles have two or fewer runs in four of their last six games though, so the bats need to come around.