Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 7-28-23 MLB Picks

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28 July 2023

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 7-28-23 MLB Picks

The Yankees and Orioles clash Friday in game 1 of an MLB series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Yankees Betting Preview

The Yankees are chipping away in the standings after wins in 5 of their last 6 games. The Yankees are now 2.5 games out of a wild card spot. The Yankees pitching staff is 9th in ERA (3.89), 8th in WHIP (1.25) and 8th in quality starts (30). The Yankees offense is 21st in runs per game (4.37), 29th in batting average (.223) and 7th in homers (141). Gleyber Torres leads the Yankees with 100 hits and 43 RBI, while Anthony Rizzo and DJ LeMahieu have combined for 159 hits and 69 RBI. Gerrit Cole gets the ball, and he is 9-2 with a 2.78 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. Cole is 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 88 strikeouts in his career against the Orioles.

New York Yankees Team Facts

The Yankees have lost each of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a home win.
The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 Friday games as favourites against American League opponents.
The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road favourites against American League opponents.
The Yankees have trailed after 7 innings in six of their last nine games as favourites against AL East opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last four road games against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Yankees' last six games against AL opponents.
Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in three of the Yankees' last five games as road favourites.
Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in eight of his last nine appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
DJ LeMahieu has scored a run in each of the Yankees' last four games as favourites.
Gerrit Cole ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.78) this season.

Orioles Betting Preview

The Orioles are 8-5 since the all star break and have a 1.5 game lead in the AL East. The Orioles haven’t lost 3 straight games since June 28-July 1. The Orioles pitching staff is 16th in ERA (4.20), 19th in WHIP (1.30) and 10th in quality starts (40). The Orioles' offense is 9th in runs per game (4.88), 16th in batting average (.225) and 14th in homers (120). Austin Hays leads the Orioles with 99 hits and 40 RBI, while Adley Rutschman and Anthony Santander have combined for 196 hits and 101 RBI. Grayson Rodriguez gets the ball, and he is 2-2 with a 6.91 ERA and 66 strikeouts this season. This will be Rodriguez’s first career game against the Yankees.

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

The Orioles have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The Orioles have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
The Orioles have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last six night games.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

Adley Rutschman has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Adam Frazier has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Orioles' last five games as underdogs against the Yankees.
Anthony Santander has hit a home run in two of the Orioles' last three games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances.
Anthony Santander has scored a run in eight of the Orioles' last nine games as home underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

The Baltimore Orioles ranks 6th in the league for doubles this season (191).
The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for triples this season (17).
The New York Yankees ranks 30th in the league for doubles this season (135).
The New York Yankees ranks 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (799).

Randy’s Pick

The Yankees are getting the slight edge here because Gerrit Cole is on the mound, and you can argue they should be even bigger favorites. While the Orioles are consistent and actually the most profitable team for bettors this season, Grayson Rodriguez has been a mess with his 6.91 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. The Yankees are also putting together a nice week and if they're going to sneak into the playoffs, they need to keep it going. Orioles at home as slight underdogs is appealing, but the pitching matchup here is glaring. Give me the Yankees.