Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction 7-29-23 MLB Picks

The New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet Saturday in MLB action from Oriole Park. This will be the second installment in a three-game AL East series over the weekend. On Friday in the opener the Orioles eked out a low-scoring victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

New York Yankees 

The Yankees split a two-game Subway Series versus the Mets this week, winning 3-1 Wednesday. Harrison Bader notched three hits and two runs in the victory. On Friday versus the Orioles, New York gave up a walk-off homer in a tough 1-0 loss. Aaron Judge drew three walks and DJ LeMahieu had two hits but no one could cash in. 

As starter for the Saturday game it’ll be the Yankees’ Clarke Schmidt. Over his 21 games (20 starts) this year Schmidt is 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA and 97 Ks in 99.2 innings. Schmidt got a win over the Royals on July 21 in his last appearance with three earned in 5.2 frames. 

New York Yankees Team Facts

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven games against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Orioles following a road loss.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last three games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

Baltimore Orioles 

Over on the Orioles’ side, they had a tight series with the Phillies this week, losing two of three games. Adley Rutschman managed a three-run homer in the Wednesday loss. In Friday’s matchup with New York, Baltimore got the game-winning blast from Ahtony Santander. Adley Rutschman, Ryan Mountcastle and Ramon Urias each had a hit as well. 

Tyler Wells will take the mound for the O’s on Saturday. In 20 games (19 starts) so far Wells is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA and 110 Ks in 111.0 innings. Wells is coming off a no-decision versus Tampa Bay on 4.1 innings and three earned. 

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

• The Orioles have lost each of their last six games as favourites against AL East opponents following a home win.
• The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favourites against the Yankees following a home win.
• The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as home favourites against AL East opponents.
• The Orioles have trailed after 7 innings in five of their last seven games as home favourites against AL East opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last seven night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Baltimore Orioles ranks 6th in the league for doubles this season (191).
• The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for triples this season (17).
• The New York Yankees ranks 30th in the league for doubles this season (135).
• The New York Yankees ranks 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (803).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’m going to take a stab on the Yankees here. Probably staying away however, as it’s tough to trust New York to do anything these days. In any case, Schmidt has won consecutive starts, posting 11.2 combined innings with five earned on eight hits and two walks. Wells has had worse luck in his last pair with eight earned in 6.1 innings total. On Friday New York wasted another good start by Gerrit Cole (7.0 innings; three hits; zero earned; zero walks; five Ks) with a flat offensive performance. Credit to the Orioles’ pen, but I think New York could get revenge here. Not touching it regardless.