Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Friday 4/28

The Sporting News
 
Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Friday 4/28

Friday night's MLB slate features several must-watch matchups, highlighted by a rematch of last season's World Series and the first season series between the Mets and Braves. For users aiming to parlay player props, SuperDraft offers an easy-to-navigate menu of player props updated daily.

On SuperDraft, users can win up to 3X the amount wagered if their two-legged parlay hits. Consequently, the more legs you add to your player prop parlay (maximum six legs), the bigger the risk -- and potential payout. 

Below, we'll break down four of our favorite strikeout-focused player props on SuperDraft for Friday night's MLB slate. Users don't necessarily have to parlay all four picks together. You could opt to make separate two-legged parlays to increase your win probability, or attempt to hit it big if all four picks come through.

Best MLB prop bets today: SuperDraft player prop picks for Friday 4/28

* Entry -four picks (10X) potential payout if all four legs parlayed*

1. Marcus Stroman SP, Cubs @ Marlins - OVER 5 strikeouts

Marcus Stroman

With Stroman donning a dominant 1.90 ERA in his first 14 road starts as a Cub (h/t Marquee Sports), we think he pitches deep enough into tonight's game to post six-plus strikeouts against an underwhelming Marlins' offense. Miami ranks 10 percent below the league average in wRC+ while compiling the seventh-highest strikeout percentage (25.1).

The "Stro Show" is also sporting a career-best 9.3 K/9 rate and has a real chance to match his eight-plus strikeout outing against the Brewers back on opening day.

2. David Peterson SP, Mets vs. Braves - UNDER 6 strikeouts

Despite Peterson striking out six-plus batters in his past three starts, he'll likely fail to record seven-plus Ks in what could be a shorter-than-expected outing from the Mets lefthander. He's done a fine job of generating swings and misses this season (74th percentile in whiff rate), but that's about it.

Peterson sports a subpar 56 ER+ with a 1.64 WHIP while allowing 11.6 hits and 2.5 home runs per nine innings. Atlanta's offense ranks third in isolated power (.193 ISO) and has been patient at the plate (sixth in BB percentage), so all it takes is one big inning to knock Peterson out of the game, hopefully before punching out seven-plus Braves.

3. Lucas Giolito, SP, White Sox vs. Rays - UNDER 6 strikeouts

Lucas-Giolito-USNews-091619-ftr-getty.jpg

We're not sure Giolito's able to punch out six-plus Rays tonight, making his UNDER six strikeout prop an appealing bet. Giolito was effective in his most recent start against the Rays this past Sunday, but even after completing seven innings, he struck out just five Rays.

The White Sox would love to see Giolito work deep into tonight's game after ace Dylan Cease was pulled after four innings on Thursday, but we think he could get roughed up against a Rays' bunch leading the league in wRC+ (146) and isolated power (.236). Given Giolito's unable to replicate his last outing, we think he'll end the night with fewer than six strikeouts.

4. Alek Manoah, SP, Blue Jays vs. Mariners - OVER 5.5 strikeouts

Manoah hasn't been overly effective this season, but he looks to be in line for his second consecutive quality start against a below-average Mariners offense (94 wRC+). He struggled with his command in his first four starts, compiling a lackluster 16:15 K:BB rate, but he exited his last start against the Yankees with a 5:1 K:BB rate.

Seattle's offense hasn't been nearly as potent as we expected coming into the season, and if Manoah's able to work six-plus innings tonight, we think he's able to sit down six-plus Mariners as long as he has a good feel for his slider (31.6 whiff percentage in '23).