Betting Tips for Cheltenham November Meeting: Best Value Bets Day Two, Saturday November 18
Herrin Kendrick looks ahead to Saturday’s top-notch action at Cheltenham November Meeting, offering three recommended bets. The Value Bet strategy aims to secure long-term profits by identifying horses with favourable odds in key weekend races and major UK and Irish Festivals.. Read on for our complete analysis and betting predictions from our expert Herrin Kendrick.
Cheltenham November Meeting Day 2 Betting Tips
Best Value Bets Day Two, Saturday November 18 Cheltenham November Meeting
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Cheltenham’s Finest: Unearthing the Best Bets at the November Meeting
Key Stats
– Angels Breath: A BHA mark of 144 and impressive hurdle performance last month.
– Come On Teddy: Returning with a mark of 132, lower than his previous successful races.
– Outside The Door: A BHA chase mark of 118, positioned well based on summer wins and recent form.
The Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase: A Spellbinding Contest
Cheltenham’s November Meeting brings a captivating lineup, headlined by the Paddy Power Gold Cup Handicap Chase. This year’s race is distinguished by the presence of Brown Advisory and Turners Novices’ Chase winners, carrying significant weights. The Real Whacker and Stage Star, with BHA marks of 162 and 155, face a challenge to overturn a recent trend where previous winners had warmed up with a recent race. This year, seven contenders, including Il Ridoto and Fugitif, are making their seasonal debut. Yet, one wonders if a dark horse who has already had a run this season might offer more value.
Unexpected Party, victorious at Chepstow, and Notlongtillmay, who performed impressively at the Showcase Meeting, are strong contenders. The Real Whacker could indeed justify his top weight if he truly is a Gold Cup caliber horse. However, Angels Breath, returning from a long injury layoff, has been quietly positioning himself as a compelling contender.
Angels Breath: Under the Radar but Overdue for Success
Angels Breath stands out as an intriguing prospect. Despite being sidelined for three years due to injury, this nine-year-old has shown commendable resilience. His return to form was evident in his last race at Chepstow, where he finished a strong second, displaying much of his previous vigour.
His participation in high-profile hurdle races in the past, despite not clinching victory, attests to his calibre. With only four chase runs in his career, Angels Breath has much untapped potential. Trainer Sam Thomas’s skill in preparing horses for specific targets further enhances his prospects. Running off a 6lb higher mark in a higher class and back on fences, he faces a formidable challenge. However, his performance at the Showcase Meeting, his first attempt at a strongly-run handicap, suggests he is well-suited to the rigours of the Paddy Power Gold Cup.
His ability to travel strongly in a race likely to be set up by prominent racers makes him a compelling bet. Despite a physical niggle last year, the patience of his connections could well be rewarded with a significant triumph.
Come On Teddy: A Potential Comeback Story
In the Paddy Power Games Handicap Hurdle, Come On Teddy emerges as a strong contender. Absent since being pulled up in the Kim Muir at the 2022 Festival, he showed promise in his other chase starts earlier that season. The handicapper has allotted him a favourable mark of 132, lower than his third-place finish in the 2021 Pertemps Final and 5lb below his winning mark at Uttoxeter.
His stamina, coupled with a tendency to perform well after a break, positions him favourably for this race. Trainer Tom George’s quiet yard had a recent winner at Doncaster, indicating a potential return to form. Come On Teddy’s proficiency over hurdles and the well-judged handicap mark make him an attractive bet, especially considering his proven ability to stay the distance and his knack for coming back strong.
Strictlyadancer: A Calculated Bet
The Wienerberger Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase could see Strictlyadancer emerge as a standout bet. His last run here suggests a strong performance, especially considering the tactical nature of the race. With a 7lbs claimer on board, Strictlyadancer is well-weighted to reverse his previous form against Mole Court. His ability to perform well when held up could be a significant advantage in a race that’s likely to be highly competitive.
- Angels Breath in the Paddy Power Gold Cup: His limited chase experience, combined with his strong comeback form, make him a potential winner.
- Come On Teddy in the Paddy Power Games Handicap Hurdle: Given his lower mark and propensity to perform well after a break, he is a strong contender.
- Strictlyadancer in the Wienerberger Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase: His tactical running style and favourable weight adjustments position him as an appealing bet.
