Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction
The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. The Blue Jays are coming off of a nice series win and are third in the very competitive AL East, while Cleveland is coming off of a very disappointing series loss and is falling behind in the AL Central race.
Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-50 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Toronto is coming off of a series win against Boston, where they won all three games in Boston. The Blue Jays offense hit very well over the weekend, scoring a total of 25 runs in three games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 516 runs with a .261 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .263 with 18 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Hyun Jin Ryu, who is 0-1 with a 7.20 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year.
Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 54-58 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss to the White Sox, where they lost two out of three games at home. The Guardians were in that big brawl on Saturday night and then they blew a 3-2 lead in the ninth inning on Sunday. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.83 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 457 runs with a .251 batting average and a .314 on base percentage this year. Steven Kwan is batting .273 with five home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 1-3 with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this season.
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Cleveland Guardians Team Facts
- The Guardians have won each of their last five games as home underdogs against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against the Blue Jays following a home loss.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five games against AL East opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts
- The Blue Jays have lost each of their last nine night games against the Guardians at Progressive Field following a win.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Monday games as favourites.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road favourites.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six Monday night games as favourites.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of his last 10 appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more hits in five of his last six appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians' last eight games against AL East opponents at Progressive Field.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded an RBI in six of his last seven appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven road games against AL opponents.
- Brandon Belt has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances with the Blue Jays against AL opponents.
- Brandon Belt has recorded three or more total bases in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- George Springer has scored at least one run in each of the Blue Jays' last five road games against AL opponents.
- Hyun-Jin Ryu has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (115).
- The Cleveland Guardians ranks 3rd in the league for triples this season (22).
- The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
- The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 5th in the league for batting average this season (.261).
Pick
The Guardians come into this series really struggling and they are falling back in the AL Central race. Toronto has played well this year and while they probably won’t catch Baltimore and Tampa Bay, they do have a small lead for the final Wild Card spot. Toronto is starting Hyun Jin Ryu, who allowed four earned runs over five innings in his first start of the year against Baltimore. Cleveland is starting Gavin Williams, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts, but does not pitch very deep into games. I really don’t like how Cleveland looked on Saturday and Sunday and their offense has not been good. Give me Toronto in this one.
