Blue Jays vs. Yankees prop picks: Ride George Springer’s hot bat
The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees turn to their aces on Wednesday, but that doesn’t mean there won’t be opportunities for hitters with favourable matchups.
The pregame narrative: Toronto and New York have put on a low-scoring, hard-fought series, and it will take some timely hitting for either team to break through and snatch the series lead with baserunners at a premium. The teams have combined for seven runs through two games, with each winning in shutout fashion.
Here are our best Blue Jays vs. Yankees prop picks for April 13.
Premium betting is coming to Ontario. Register herefor exclusive benefits, promos and NorthStar Bets content.
Blue Jays vs. Yankees prop picks overview
- George Springer over 1.5 bases (+125)
- Aaron Judge over 1.5 bases (+105)
- Jose Berrios over 5.5 strikeouts (+115)
Blue Jays vs. Yankees prop picks
Best bet: Springer over 1.5 bases (+125)
Picking a hitter to thrive against Gerrit Cole is a dangerous business, but Springer is the man for the job. The Blue Jays’ leadoff hitter has been red hot in the early going, slashing .408/.458/.818 with multiple hits in four consecutive games.
More important than his recent performance is the way he matches up against the Yankees’ ace. Springer is 4-for-6 against his former Houston Astros teammate, and the last time he saw the big right-hander he crushed a 111.8 mph double in his first at-bat.
While that’s a tiny sample, Springer excels against pitchers whose primary weapon is the fastball. He has slugged at least .738 against four-seamers in every season since 2019.
Cole’s top secondary pitch is a slider, which also suits Springer well considering he was the league's top slider hitter as recently as 2019, according to Baseball Savant.
In Springer’s Blue Jays career, he’s hit this prop 46.9% of the time. The implied probability on this line is 44.6%, which makes this a solid value on any given night — but especially when Springer is seeing the ball well and facing a pitcher whose arsenal plays to his strengths.
Key stat: Springer ranked 11th in the majors in run value vs. four-seam fastballs in 2021 (+18) despite playing just 78 games.
Quick picks
Judge over 1.5 bases (+120): Not only does Judge have an outstanding record against Berrios (7-for-12, .917 SLG), but he’s been consistently excellent against curveballs and four-seamers in his career. Berrios used those pitches nearly 60% of the time in 2021, and 76.5% in his first start of 2022.
Berrios over 5.5 strikeouts (+115): Even with Berrios’s brutal Opening Day performance, and some early season caution surrounding pitch counts, this is achievable for a guy who cleared six strikeouts in 22 of his 32 starts last season. Add in the right-hander’s 30.1% strikeout rate against current Yankees hitters, and he’s well-positioned to rack up punchouts against a righty-dominant lineup.
Disclaimer This content was produced as part of a partnership and therefore it may not meet the standards of impartial or independent journalism.
